ES (S&P 500 Futures) is currently trading near its all-time highs (ATH at 6,166.50), with strong weekly candles and bullish momentum.
RTY (Russell 2000 Futures), however, is still trading ~17% below its ATH of 2,477.10, with price currently near 2,062.
6-month performance comparison
ES:-2.76% (recovering rapidly)
RTY:-15.20% (still in drawdown)
The YTD performance remains negative for both, but RTY is worse:
ES:-0.37%
RTY:-8.66%
Weekly Chart of RTY: Structure and Trend
Bullish Observations:
RTY posted a sharp rally off the April lows near 1,800.
Recent candles show stabilization, but momentum is waning as price struggles near the 2,060–2,100 area.
Caution:
No clear breakout above weekly resistance (~2,100–2,120).
Weekly trend is still lower highs, lower lows, unless RTY closes decisively above 2,200.
Compared to ES, which is in breakout formation, RTY remains a sideways laggard.
Daily Chart of RTY
Moving Averages
50-day MA (orange): 2,000.6 → acting as short-term support
200-day MA (green): 2,187.5 → strong resistance ceiling
Price is now trapped between the two MAs.
RSI (14)
RSI at 52.62, still in neutral territory.
Momentum is fading, with RSI pulling back from recent peaks near 65.
Divergence developing: price remains range-bound while momentum weakens.
Structure
Range-bound behavior between 2,040 and 2,100
No aggressive bullish follow-through since the rally off April lows
Compression forming with lower highs on daily, suggesting a potential decision point soon
Metric
ES (S&P 500 Futures)
RTY (Russell 2000 Futures)
Trend (Weekly)
Strong uptrend
Sideways, potential reversal
Proximity to ATH
~4% below ATH
~17% below ATH
Daily Trend
Bullish continuation
Range/consolidation
RSI Momentum (Daily)
Above 60 (bullish)
~52 (neutral)
50/200 MA Status
Above both
Between both
Key Levels for RTY
Support Levels
Resistance Levels
2,000.00 (50-day MA)
2,100.00 – near-term ceiling
1,950.00 (Range base)
2,187.50 (200-day MA)
1,800.00 (April low)
2,250.00+ = breakout confirmation
Ending Off
RTY remains the weakest link among U.S. equity indexes. While the S&P 500 is setting up for a potential ATH breakout, RTY is stalled in a neutral range. For RTY to catch up:
A decisive close above 2,200–2,220 is needed to shift the narrative to bullish rotation.
Otherwise, continued underperformance is likely as large-caps (ES) dominate flows.
Weekly Chart Analysis:The weekly chart shows a consolidation below the previous all-time high (ATH) with most dips generally being bought back up. The resistance level to watch is the previous ATH at $2089.0. A decisive weekly close above this level could signal a bullish continuation, potentially targeting the bull target zone around $2400.0. However, should Read More…
Recent inflation trends mean the Dollar is weakening and the Pound is strengthening The world bank is calling for a recession this year Bulls are in full control as they target the point of control level at $1.3 Fundamentals Driving New Price Discovery With the recent inflation showing a reversal in trend, we are seeing Read More…
Introduction Along with all other US indices, the Dow is dropping as the conflicts in the Middle East continue. Initially, US indices did not react much, but as time goes by, the market is pricing in the developments. The strong dollar is also undoubtedly factoring into the price since YM is priced in dollars, so Read More…
