Uncategorized

Updated Technical Analysis for E-mini Russell 2000 Futures (RTY)

Summary of Previous Analysis The original short trade idea was based on a failed breakout attempt above the $2,275 resistance, leading to a short entry around $2,233, with a stop loss at $2,320.5 and a target near the trendline at $2,135. The rationale for the trade was the concentration of volume in the $2,150-$2,275 range Read More…

Interest Futures
Fundamental Analysis

Interest Futures Dip as Fed Rate Cut Outlook Dims Slightly

Interest futures fell on Thursday as mixed US data led to a slight decline in Fed rate cut expectations. Data showed that inflation in September was higher than expected. Meanwhile, employment figures showed weakness in the labor market last week. US core inflation (Bureau of Labor Statistics) Consumer Price Index figures on Thursday revealed that Read More…

Crude Oil Futures
Fundamental Analysis

Iranian Oil Fears and Hurricane Milton Spark Oil Price Recovery

Fears of Iranian oil disruptions and Hurricane Milton in the US boosted oil prices on Thursday. In the previous session, prices fell due to a bigger-than-expected increase in US crude oil inventories.  Oil eased on Wednesday after the US released data showing a 5.4 million barrel rise in crude inventories. Meanwhile, economists had predicted a Read More…

Fundamental Analysis

Gold Prices Sink Amid Waning Fed Rate Cut Bets

Gold prices fell more than 1% on Tuesday and maintained the downward trajectory on Wednesday due to a decline in Fed rate cut expectations. Moreover, prices dropped due to worries about poor growth in China in Q4. Gold (Source: Bloomberg) Gold hit a two-week low in the previous session as market participants priced in a Read More…

Technical Analysis

Bull Target Hit On Crude Oil Futures!

Introduction In our earlier analysis, I mentioned key levels in CL crude futures, focusing on a support zone between $66-$71 and a potential breakout above $78.04. There was an expectation of a rally towards higher targets if the price successfully broke above the descending trendline and the 100-week EMA. With escalating geopolitical tensions involving Iran Read More…

Fundamental Analysis

Equities Fall 1% as Markets Dial Back Fed Rate Cut Expectations

Equities fell by 1% on Monday as market participants absorbed the sudden shift in the Fed’s rate cut outlook. At the same time, fears arose that the escalating Middle East tensions would increase oil prices and affect the global economy. On Friday, the US monthly employment report revealed a jump in job growth and a Read More…

Technical Analysis

U.S. Dollar Surges on Fed Policy, Technical Outlook

Introduction The Dollar has been surging for the past few sessions, posting five straight green candles. Without looking at any fundamentals in today’s overview, lets dive straight into the technicals and see what we can find. Technical Analysis The Dollar is overextended in the short term with the RSI in overbought territory. Price has also Read More…

Trading view front
Fundamental Analysis

Currency Futures Slip as Dollar Boosts After Robust NFP

Currency futures fell on Friday while the US dollar jumped after a blockbuster employment report lowered Fed rate cut expectations. At the same time, demand for the dollar remained high after several upbeat US economic reports. US employment (Source: Bureau of Labor Statistics) It was a green day for the dollar after the US released Read More…

Uncategorized

Upbeat US Data Sends Interest Futures Falling as Yields Surge

Interest futures fell on Thursday and Friday as Treasury yields rose while Fed rate cut expectations fell after upbeat US data. Market participants moved to price a higher chance of a small rate cut during the November meeting.  Since Tuesday, interest futures have declined as the outlook for rate cuts in the US shifted. The Read More…

Crude Oil Futures
Fundamental Analysis

Oil Prices Surge as Middle East Tensions Fuel Supply Worries

Oil prices have rallied since Wednesday due to supply concerns stemming from increased tensions in the Middle East. However, a build in US crude inventories indicated weak demand, weighing on prices.  Brent futures (Source: ICE) The conflict between Iran and Israel escalated when Iran fired 180 missiles at its opponent. Meanwhile, Israel vowed to hit Read More…