Technical Overview (Daily Chart) Macro/Geopolitical Context Euro Strength Drivers: Dollar Weakness Catalysts: Probabilities Table Scenario Description Probability Comment 🟢 Bullish continuation Price holds above 1.161 and pushes toward 1.185 / 1.206 60% +/- Structural support intact, risk-on flows favor euro 🟡 Pullback to 1.150–1.155 Brief shakeout before reattempting higher 30% +/- Would be healthy for Read More…
Overview Crude oil has seen a sharp unwind following last week’s geopolitical-driven spike above $77. Over the past 48 hours, a de-escalation in tensions between Iran and Israel has cooled risk sentiment, pushing prices back into the prior breakout zone between $64 and $68. A rapid +20% rally driven by fear premiums has now corrected Read More…
Introduction Light Crude Oil Futures (CL) are trading sharply higher at $73.51, up more than 20% from the May lows. The breakout is technically significant, but more importantly, it’s now being supported by growing geopolitical risk in the Middle East due to renewed conflict escalation between Iran and Israel, which has once again injected a Read More…
Euro FX Futures (6E1!) continue to follow a steady uptrend, now trading at 1.1587 and holding firmly above a rising trendline that has acted as reliable dynamic support since early March. The price remains comfortably above both the 50-day MA (1.1376) and 200-day MA (1.0871). The Dollar continues its decline as the political scene in Read More…
Technical Analysis: The S&P 500 E-mini futures remain in a tightening range, just beneath their all-time high of 6,166.50. After a strong May rally, price action in June has flattened out into a classic consolidation pattern. Despite brief pushes above the 6,000 mark, the index has failed to follow through with a sustained breakout. Momentum Read More…
Key Technical Developments Since Last Analysis: Technical Analysis Chart Structure: The triangle pattern has now confirmed a clean breakout, validated by a bullish expansion in range and follow-through. However, the past 2–3 daily candles are showing small-bodied indecision, implying consolidation just below the key $3,509 resistance level. Moving Averages: Resistance & Target Levels: Momentum Outlook: Read More…
