Interest Futures
Fundamental Analysis

Interest Futures Plunge on Shifting Fed Rate-Cut Outlook

Interest futures fell on Thursday amid growing despair about the Fed’s rate-cut outlook. Investors have lost hope that the Fed will cut rates in June after data on Wednesday revealed high inflation.  Wednesday’s US Consumer Price Index report dealt a big blow to Fed rate cut expectations. It brought to light that the Fed still Read More…

Crude Oil Futures
Fundamental Analysis

Oil Prices Rally as Supply Concerns Take Center Stage

Oil prices rose on Wednesday as supply concerns overshadowed a build in crude inventories and a drop in Fed rate cut expectations. Investors grew concerned about supply as the war in Gaza continued. WTI crude futures (Source: Nymex) Notably, Israeli strikes on Gaza hit prominent members of Hamas on Wednesday amid ongoing ceasefire talks. Consequently, Read More…

Technical Analysis

Dollar Bulls Take Control

The March CPI data has delivered a significant boost to the US dollar, effectively wiping out expectations of a June rate cut by the Fed. This development will prove frustrating for the central bank, though the strong economic growth provides them the luxury of patience. The high inflation figures have several key implications. Firstly, they Read More…

Fundamental Analysis

Gold Prices Scale New Peaks Amid Geopolitical Tensions

Gold prices hit record highs on Tuesday as demand for the haven metal increased amid geopolitical tensions. At the same time, investors bought more gold as bets for a Fed rate cut in June increased ahead of US inflation figures. As the war in Gaza continues, investors seek refuge in the yellow metal. Interested parties Read More…

Technical Analysis

Russell 2000 Futures (RTY) Technical Outlook

In the global markets, a cautious stance prevails as investors await the release of the U.S. consumer price inflation data for March. This anticipation follows a strong U.S. jobs report last Friday that exceeded expectations, fueling speculation about the Federal Reserve’s interest rate plans. Based on the inflation numbers, today’s news could send RTY higher. Read More…

what to look out for when watching a stock
Fundamental Analysis

Equities Flatline Ahead of Critical US Consumer Price Index

Equities closed Monday nearly flat with no catalysts ahead of the crucial US Consumer Price Index report. At the same time, a sharp increase in Treasury yields due to a drop in Fed rate-cut expectations put pressure on stocks. Investors are gearing up for inflation figures from the US that will shape the outlook for Read More…

Crude Oil Futures
Technical Analysis

Crude Oil Futures Edge Higher, RSI Bullish

Crude oil futures traded higher on Tuesday morning as ongoing geopolitical tensions in West Asia continued to impact the market. Brent oil futures were up 0.29% to $90.64, while May West Texas Intermediate crude futures gained 0.21% to $86.61. Tensions in the Middle East drove the surge in crude prices. The much-anticipated peace talks between Read More…

Convenience Yield and Backwardation
Fundamental Analysis

Currency Futures Dip as Dollar Surges on Solid US Employment Data

Currency futures fell on Friday as the dollar rallied after the US reported a bigger-than-expected increase in employment in March. As a result, there was a higher chance the Fed would lag behind other major central banks in cutting interest rates. Despite the big rally on Friday, the dollar ended the week down.  US employment Read More…

Technical Analysis

S&P 500 (ES) Futures, Bulls In Control

S&P 500 Futures Rise Amid Fed Rate Cut Speculation Investor concerns over prolonged higher interest rates weighed on the S&P 500 last week. Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell emphasized the need for concrete evidence of inflation nearing the 2% target before considering rate adjustments. This cautious stance has led to a downward revision in market Read More…

Interest Futures
Fundamental Analysis

Interest Futures Rally as Investors Gear Up for the US Employment Report

Interest futures ended higher on Thursday as investors positioned themselves ahead of the monthly US employment report. However, prices fluctuated during the session as rate cut expectations kept changing. US initial jobless claims (Source: Labor Department) The US released data showing higher-than-expected employment claims. These figures indicated easing conditions in the labor market, supporting Fed Read More…