Interest Futures
Fundamental Analysis

US Interest Futures Reprice Toward Policy Tightening, Eyes on NFP

US interest futures stayed under pressure as traders repriced the Federal Reserve’s policy path after stronger-than-expected inflation data, with markets moving away from earlier easing assumptions and toward a higher-for-longer stance that now includes limited odds of further tightening. In the SOFR futures strip, selling was concentrated in the front end, with both the September Read More…

Interest Futures
Fundamental Analysis

Interest Futures Set for Weekly Loss as Fed Outlook and Middle East Risks Weigh

Interest futures were heading for a bearish week on Friday as market participants grappled with escalating Middle East tensions and a less dovish Fed. Rising tensions in the Middle East sent oil prices higher, boosting Treasury yields. Meanwhile, some Fed policymakers took on a more hawkish tone during the FOMC meeting, increasing chances of rate Read More…

Interest Futures
Fundamental Analysis

US Interest Futures Retreat as Middle East Tensions Push Yields Higher

Interest futures ended lower on Thursday as escalating tensions between the US and Iran sent oil prices higher. Inflation worries increased, sending Treasury yields higher. At the same time, the recent decline in expectations for Fed rate cuts has weighed on interest-rate futures. Tensions between the US and Iran escalated this week despite an extension Read More…