Interest futures ended lower on Thursday as escalating tensions between the US and Iran sent oil prices higher. Inflation worries increased, sending Treasury yields higher. At the same time, the recent decline in expectations for Fed rate cuts has weighed on interest-rate futures. Tensions between the US and Iran escalated this week despite an extension Read More…
US interest futures dropped on Thursday after upbeat US jobs data sent Treasury yields higher. However, sentiment lifted on Friday morning, amid hopes of an end to the conflicts in Iran and Lebanon. US jobless claims (Source: Trading Economics) US data on Thursday showed that jobless claims fell to 207,000 the previous week. Meanwhile, economists Read More…
Interest futures ended mostly unchanged on Thursday after fluctuating with developments in the US-Iran war. Nevertheless, the price closed well below the previous session highs, indicating a pullback. The US-Iran ceasefire deal initially eased inflation worries, boosting the bond market. However, cracks in the deal emerged, renewing concerns about global price pressures. US 10 Year Read More…
US interest futures are sending mixed signals this week amid uncertainty over the Fed’s next move and the broader state of the economy. Short-term futures, such as 30-day Federal Funds contracts, indicate that investors disregard the odds of an immediate rate hike. After Fed Chair Powell said inflation is slowing, but the central bank is Read More…
Interest futures have seen a sharp and unusual price change this week. Traders have shifted from pricing rate cuts to hedging against the probability of policy tightening as an energy-driven inflation shock spreads through global markets. Short-term contracts linked to near-term SOFR futures, especially expiring in June and September 2026, have seen implied yields rise Read More…
US interest futures are pricing in a long period of tight policy after the Federal Reserve decided to keep its benchmark rate steady this week. A recent rise in global oil prices and ongoing inflation have made it harder for the Fed to ease up in 2026. The FOMC ended its two-day meeting on Wednesday Read More…
