Interest futures ended mostly unchanged on Thursday after fluctuating with developments in the US-Iran war. Nevertheless, the price closed well below the previous session highs, indicating a pullback. The US-Iran ceasefire deal initially eased inflation worries, boosting the bond market. However, cracks in the deal emerged, renewing concerns about global price pressures. US 10 Year Read More…
US interest futures are sending mixed signals this week amid uncertainty over the Fed’s next move and the broader state of the economy. Short-term futures, such as 30-day Federal Funds contracts, indicate that investors disregard the odds of an immediate rate hike. After Fed Chair Powell said inflation is slowing, but the central bank is Read More…
Interest futures have seen a sharp and unusual price change this week. Traders have shifted from pricing rate cuts to hedging against the probability of policy tightening as an energy-driven inflation shock spreads through global markets. Short-term contracts linked to near-term SOFR futures, especially expiring in June and September 2026, have seen implied yields rise Read More…
US interest futures are pricing in a long period of tight policy after the Federal Reserve decided to keep its benchmark rate steady this week. A recent rise in global oil prices and ongoing inflation have made it harder for the Fed to ease up in 2026. The FOMC ended its two-day meeting on Wednesday Read More…
US interest futures are showing a cautious view of Federal Reserve policy as geopolitical tensions and rising oil prices change investors’ expectations from both short- and long-term contracts. 30-Day Federal Funds futures (ZQ) track expectations for the Fed’s policy rate. Traders have lowered their hopes for quick rate cuts as energy prices have gone up. Read More…
US interest futures didn’t change much on Friday as traders were cautious ahead of the February non-farm payrolls report and also factored in the inflation risks posed by the growing conflict between the US and Iran. Short-term rate contracts linked to the Federal Reserve System’s policy outlook indicate that traders are losing faith in near-term Read More…
