Interest Futures
Fundamental Analysis

Interest Futures Rise as Treasury Yields Fall on Fed Cut Hopes

Interest futures extended gains on Friday as Treasury yields eased on increasing expectations for Fed rate cuts. However, prices had a difficult start to the week as risk appetite soared on a trade truce between China and the US. Most investors felt confident enough to buy equities at the expense of the bond market.  US Read More…

Interest Futures
Fundamental Analysis

Interest Futures Signal Market Caution Ahead of Key Inflation Data

Interest futures are showing cautious sentiment as markets digest central bank actions and brace for fresh inflation data next week. Traders now price in a 82% probability that the Fed will hold its rates in the next policy meeting as well, with overall reduced expectations for rate cuts in 2025. The shift follows a series Read More…

Interest Futures
Fundamental Analysis

Interest Futures Tick Up as Markets Eye Progress in US-China Trade Talks

Interest futures edged higher on Friday as optimism built about likely trade talks between China and the US. The rebound followed declines in the previous two sessions after downbeat US economic data. Meanwhile, market participants eagerly await the US nonfarm payrolls report for clues on Fed rate cuts.  On Friday, China said it was considering Read More…

Interest Futures
Fundamental Analysis

Interest Futures Rise on Renewed Hopes for China–US Trade Deal

Interest futures extended gains on Friday as sentiment improved amid hopes of a trade deal between China and the US. The likelihood of lower tariffs hurts Treasury yields, boosting interest futures. Meanwhile, market participants are awaiting the release of US inflation and employment figures next week.  US 30-year yields (Source: Bloomberg) Interest futures have had Read More…

Interest Futures
Fundamental Analysis

Interest Futures Extend Decline as US-China Trade War Heats Up

Interest futures extended losses on Friday as the trade war between the US and China raged. Uncertainty about the US economy has caused most investors to dump US assets and flee for safety in gold and other haven assets like the yen. The decline continued despite recent data showing softer-than-expected US consumer and wholesale inflation.  Read More…

Interest Futures
Fundamental Analysis

Interest Futures Rise as Markets Brace for Key US Jobs Data

Interest futures edged higher on Friday as investors awaited the release of the U.S. NFP report for March, a critical indicator that could influence the Federal Reserve’s upcoming monetary policy decisions. The CME Group’s FedWatch tool indicates a 68% probability of a rate cut at the Federal Reserve’s June meeting, down from 78% the previous Read More…