russell 2000 RTY futures OneUp Trader FUnded Trader Program
Technical Analysis

Russell 2000 Futures (RTY) Technical Analysis 14 August

Technical Overview

Russell 2000 technical analysis oneup trader funded trader program

Trend & Structure

The Russell 2000 futures have surged in the past two trading sessions, up 5% marking its best two days since the 5th of November 2025. This was on the back of a positive CPI report that showed inflation is in line with expectations. The price broke decisively above the 50-day and 200-day moving averages after a prolonged sideways range. This is a very bullish sign for the index.

  • The breakout rally over the past week has been sharp, leaving price extended in the short term.
  • The next major resistance lies at the all-time high zone around 2,477, meaning there’s still room to the upside before a key decision point.
  • The Russell’s relative strength vs. other U.S. indices means that there is small-cap participation in the broader rally.

Momentum & Indicators

  • RSI at 66.12 is nearing overbought but not yet flashing an extreme warning.
  • The rally has been fast, so a minor pullback toward 2,300 would be healthy before another leg higher.

Key Technical Levels

LevelTypeComment
2,477Major ResistanceAll-time high, key breakout trigger if cleared
2,333–2,300Minor SupportNear-term consolidation zone
2,212–2,189Strong Support50DMA and 200DMA confluence
2,050Secondary SupportPre-breakout base from June
1,900Major SupportMarch lows, bear control if broken

Probability Table

ScenarioEstimated ProbabilityCommentary
Push toward ATH at 2,47750%Breakout momentum + small-cap leadership favors continuation
Pullback to 2,300 before resuming higher35%Likely after such a fast run; could offer better long entries
Breakdown below 2,21215%Would negate bullish breakout structure in the short term

Trade Setups

Bullish Continuation Play

  • Entry: On breakout above 2,340 intraday or on pullback to 2,300 with support confirmation
  • Target 1: 2,400
  • Target 2: 2,470–2,477 (ATH)
  • Stop: Below 2,295

Countertrend Short (Aggressive)

  • Entry: On failed breakout attempt near 2,400–2,420 with reversal candle
  • Target: 2,300
  • Stop: Above 2,435