Weekly Timeframe Analysis:On the weekly chart, we can see price has been in a solid uptrend since the beginning of the year. The Relative Strength Index is currently in overbought territory. Despite the overbought RSI, we should consider the prevailing uptrend as the dominant force until price action suggests otherwise. Daily Timeframe Analysis:The daily chart Read More…
Interest futures collapsed on Thursday while Treasury yields rose as data from the US and policymakers continued to point at delayed Fed rate cuts. Labor market data from the US showed strength in the sector despite high interest rates. This gives the Fed room to keep interest rates high and lower inflation. At the same Read More…
Weekly Chart Observations: ES has been getting out of hand lately and just continues to rally no matter what. The Alligator indicator has the Lips (4821.50), Teeth (4733.71), and Jaw (4631.17) fanning out, which confirms the trend strength. Taking shorts now is highly risky and the only thing that could stop this market from going Read More…
Oil prices rose on Wednesday due to rising tensions in the Middle East that could lead to tighter supply. At the same time, a surprise drop in gasoline stocks indicated an increase in demand. Aggregate open interest in crude (Source: ICE, CME) Investors are buying more oil futures, expecting tighter supply and higher prices. Israel Read More…
Gold prices rose on Tuesday, pausing a decline that started on Friday after the US jobs report. The recovery came as the dollar and Treasury yields pulled back from recent highs. However, this decline might be short-lived if fundamentals continue pointing to delayed rate cuts in the US. Fed rate cut expectations (Source: Bloomberg) Notably, Read More…
US equities closed Monday in the red as Powell maintained his hawkish stance, dampening rate cut expectations. In a speech on Sunday, the Fed chair said that inflation in the US needs to show a consistent downtrend for rate cuts to start. According to the central bank, inflation remains high. Therefore, the economy still needs Read More…
