gold futures
Market Overview Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis: Gold Rallies to Hit Price Target at 1,780

  • The first target of $1,780 is very close to being hit as Gold rallies.
  • Potential catalysts that could send the price lower.

Quick Recap On Last Week’s Gold Analysis

The bounce off the 100 EMA, Point of control, and 0.236 Fibonacci retracement level has already resulted in Gold gaining about 25 points since we did our analysis last week. The first target of $1,780 is only a few points away, and the trend looks bullish. If we see a price break through the 0.382 Fib level ($1,780), then we have a good reason to believe the second target of $1,834.2 is reachable.

GC Daily chart showing fibonacci levels, point of control line for volume profile.
GC Daily Chart

Potential Bumps In The Bulls Road


The RSI is currently printing 63.77 on the 4-hourly chart, and when the high was made recently on November 16th, it was printing 83. It’s too early to tell if there could be a bearish divergence, but if GC pushes through the level mentioned above, we ideally want to see the RSI at 80 or higher.

The Fed’s Stance

The next Fed meeting is on December 14th. Markets have priced in an expectation of a 50 basis point hike; however, it will all come down to the path they lay out for the future, which will play a massive role in the price of Gold.

GC 4 hourly cahrt showing fibonacci fan, RSI and bull target
GC 4 hourly chart

There is also the potential for Gold to sit in between the zone of $1,786 and $1,737.9. If the bulls fail to push the price towards the second target, then it’s possible we could see a consolidation phase as the market awaits the Fed meeting.

GC Hourly Chart