Technical Analysis

Bullish opportunity presents itself in T-bond futures (ZB)

A fresh look at the technicals Ascending Triangle: There is an ascending triangle on the daily chart. This tells us that the market is forming a bullish bias. Price is currently testing the diagonal support line at 127’27. Capitulation Candle: There was a capitulation with a high volume spike at the low I pointed to on the Read More…

Crude oil (CL) futures
Fundamental Analysis

Oil Surges as a Rise in US Corn and Soybean Prices Improves Demand Outlook

On Wednesday, oil prices increased by one dollar per barrel due to the rise in US corn and soybean prices, which reached multi-month highs. This surge in agricultural prices led to expectations that global crop shortages would decrease the blending of biofuels and subsequently increase the demand for oil.  Traders noted that Chicago Board of Read More…

Technical Analysis

Dow Jones futures (YM) false break out of ascending triangle

Recap On June 12th, we analyzed the ascending triangle formation on the daily chart in the Dow Jones futures. You can view that article here. YM gapped up on June 9th and continued to rally while it tested the horizontal resistance level at $34,221. The bulls have failed on this attempt, so there are some short-term Read More…

Stock price chart
Fundamental Analysis

Equities Decline Amid Signs of Weakening Global Demand

On Tuesday, US equities declined, closing with negative results as investors took profits after a sustained rally amid indications of weakening global demand. Fed Chairman Jerome Powell’s upcoming congressional testimony on Wednesday could further impact the market.  The S&P 500 and the Dow were weighed down by Exxon Mobil Corp, causing all three major US Read More…

Nasdaq 100 futures (NQ)
Technical Analysis

Nasdaq futures (NQ) surge 8% is less than a week

Technical Recap The last time we did technicals on NQ was June 9th. Bulls looked steadfast on hitting the 78% Fib level at $15,147, which has officially happened. The Nasdaq rallied 8% since June 9th, and doesn’t look like it’s slowing any time soon. Targets From here, there is very little evidence for a bearish Read More…

Fundamental Analysis

Equities Decline in Thin Trading Ahead of Jerome Powell’s Testimony

European equities declined on Monday as investors awaited additional stimulus measures from China and focused on the upcoming testimony from Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell. US markets were closed for a public holiday, resulting in thin trading.  China’s cabinet met to discuss measures for boosting economic growth. According to state media, China lowered its key Read More…

Fundamental Analysis

Currency Futures Mixed After Multiple Central Bank Meetings

Currency futures closed mixed on Friday after a week full of policy decisions. The Japanese yen weakened against the greenback, reaching its lowest point in six months. The Bank of Japan, as anticipated, maintained its short-term rate target of -0.1% and its 10-year bond yield cap of 0%.  Despite higher-than-expected inflation, the central bank continued Read More…

S&P 500
Technical Analysis

S&P 500 futures (ES) inverted head and shoulders update

Update On May 29th, we looked at the inverse head and shoulders breaking out of the neckline. Today we look at how that trade is going and what bulls could do to manage their position moving forward. ES has surged through the neckline, now up 7.5% from the last technical article we did. Bulls are firmly in Read More…

Fundamental Analysis

Gold Demand Soars as Dollar Plunges After ECB Rate Hike

Gold prices increased from a three-month low due to a decline in the dollar and bond yields caused by US economic data. The dollar dropped after the European Central Bank raised interest rates following the Federal Reserve’s pause in rate hikes. The European Central Bank lifted interest rates to a 3.5% high, indicating the possibility Read More…