Fundamental Analysis

Currency Futures Rise Despite US PPI Exceeding Expectations

Currency futures rose on Friday, despite a higher-than-expected reading in the US PPI report. Meanwhile, the dollar closed lower on Friday after rallying during the week as traders pushed back expectations for rate cuts.  US wholesale prices (Source: Bureau of Labor Statistics) The Producer Price Index was the second report of the week, showing much Read More…

Technical Analysis

S&P 500 Futures (ES) hanging man?

Weekly On the weekly chart, there is a hanging man candlestick, which may lead to a reversal or a significant pause in the uptrend. Given the strong uptrend with 14 green candles in the past 16 weeks, we would need further confirmation before considering this a top. Volume has been relatively steady, without any significant Read More…

Interest Futures
Fundamental Analysis

Interest Futures Edge Higher as Sales Decline Lifts Rate-Cut Bets

After a surprise decline in retail sales renewed rate-cut bets, interest futures rose on Thursday. On the other hand, the report sent Treasury yields lower. The decrease in retail sales indicated a slowing economy, reducing some of the impact of the upbeat inflation report on Tuesday. Meanwhile, investors also assessed labor market data. US retail Read More…

Fundamental Analysis

Oil Prices Take a Dive as Crude Inventories Soar

Oil prices fell on Wednesday due to a surge in crude inventories. When fuel stocks in the US increase, it is a sign that demand has dropped.  WTI futures (Source: Bloomberg, EIA) Moreover, a drop in refining in the US led to a bigger-than-expected build in inventories. US refining slowed significantly during the cold weather. Read More…

Fundamental Analysis

Gold Futures Dip as US Inflation Remains Persistent

Gold prices plunged on Tuesday as the dollar and Treasury yields rose after an upbeat inflation report. After a long wait, investors finally saw the state of inflation in the US. According to the report, inflation remains persistent and higher than expected. Consequently, there was a decline in Fed rate cut bets.  The outlook for Read More…