Equities ended Monday nearly flat as risk sentiment soured after Moody’s downgraded the US’s credit rating. At the same time, most investors preferred to stay on the sidelines ahead of a vote on Trump’s tax cut bill. On Monday, Moody’s cut the US government’s credit rating, citing a growing debt. This dampened risk appetite and Read More…
Technical Analysis Adaptive Momentum Oscillator (AMO): Bearish Reversal Signal This is the first red histogram since April, and it’s emerging near resistance. Scenarios 🟢 Bull Case (Less Likely Short-Term) Catalysts: Hot inflation surprise, stronger U.S. growth, Fed re-hawkishness 🔴 Bear Case (Favored Short-Term) Catalysts: Weak economic data, risk-on flows, further Fed cut pricing, strong euro Read More…
Introduction Technical Analysis After a strong breakout above 1.13 in April, 6E has pulled back modestly, retracing toward the 50-day moving average and prior support at ~1.114–1.117. Buyers stepped in at that level, and we are now seeing an attempt to regain upside momentum. Price is currently retesting the pivot zone at 1.127, which is Read More…
Price Action & Structure Recap of the Recent Setup Technical Indicators Moving Averages Adaptive Momentum Oscillator (AMO) This indicator shows bullish strength, but watch for potential divergence if ES fails to break above R1 (~5,962) soon. Key Technical Zones Level Price Role R2 / ATH Target ~6,170–6,338 Long-term measured move / fib cluster R1 5,962.75 Read More…
Oil prices collapsed on Thursday after Trump said that a nuclear deal with Iran was approaching. Therefore, oil from Iran will further loosen the already loose market. At the same time, data from the US revealed a surprise increase in crude inventories, indicating weak demand. Oil fell about 3% on Thursday, extending a decline from Read More…
Technical Analysis Bullish Structure Intact The Euro surged from below 1.08 in Q1 to above 1.16 in mid-April, breaking through several key resistance levels. The most recent pullback appears to have: Resistance and Key Levels The key technical battlegrounds now are: A daily close above 1.1300 would shift momentum strongly back in the bulls’ favor Read More…
