Technical Overview (Daily Chart) Macro/Geopolitical Context Euro Strength Drivers: Dollar Weakness Catalysts: Probabilities Table Scenario Description Probability Comment 🟢 Bullish continuation Price holds above 1.161 and pushes toward 1.185 / 1.206 60% +/- Structural support intact, risk-on flows favor euro 🟡 Pullback to 1.150–1.155 Brief shakeout before reattempting higher 30% +/- Would be healthy for Read More…
Gold futures remain steady on Wednesday above the key level of $3,310. The precious metal declined on Tuesday to a fresh 2-week low as the risk sentiment improved after the geopolitical tensions eased. However, the markets remain cautious as uncertainty from the US Federal Reserve lingers. The market opened on Monday with a softer tone Read More…
US equities started the week with a cautious tone as major indices showed mixed performance. The investors weighed the implications of a ceasefire between Iran and Israel along with expectations of Fed’s future rate policy. Although the Middle East de-escalation briefly boosted risk sentiment, underlying factors like inflation, interest rates, and earnings growth kept the Read More…
Overview Crude oil has seen a sharp unwind following last week’s geopolitical-driven spike above $77. Over the past 48 hours, a de-escalation in tensions between Iran and Israel has cooled risk sentiment, pushing prices back into the prior breakout zone between $64 and $68. A rapid +20% rally driven by fear premiums has now corrected Read More…
Introduction Light Crude Oil Futures (CL) are trading sharply higher at $73.51, up more than 20% from the May lows. The breakout is technically significant, but more importantly, it’s now being supported by growing geopolitical risk in the Middle East due to renewed conflict escalation between Iran and Israel, which has once again injected a Read More…
Currency futures experienced a surge in volatility as the week started. The escalating geopolitical tensions and evolving monetary policy expectations keep the traders on edge. The US dollar continued to benefit from the safe-haven flows while the commodity currencies and risk-sensitive assets retreated in response to Middle East turmoil and mixed macroeconomic data. The Dollar Read More…
