Interest futures collapsed on Thursday while Treasury yields rose as data from the US and policymakers continued to point at delayed Fed rate cuts. Labor market data from the US showed strength in the sector despite high interest rates. This gives the Fed room to keep interest rates high and lower inflation. At the same Read More…
Fundamental Analysis
Oil Prices Climb Amid Escalating Middle East Tensions
Oil prices rose on Wednesday due to rising tensions in the Middle East that could lead to tighter supply. At the same time, a surprise drop in gasoline stocks indicated an increase in demand. Aggregate open interest in crude (Source: ICE, CME) Investors are buying more oil futures, expecting tighter supply and higher prices. Israel Read More…
Gold Bounces Back, Pausing the Jobs Report Dip
Gold prices rose on Tuesday, pausing a decline that started on Friday after the US jobs report. The recovery came as the dollar and Treasury yields pulled back from recent highs. However, this decline might be short-lived if fundamentals continue pointing to delayed rate cuts in the US. Fed rate cut expectations (Source: Bloomberg) Notably, Read More…
Equities Plummet as Powell Dampens Rate Cut Expectations
US equities closed Monday in the red as Powell maintained his hawkish stance, dampening rate cut expectations. In a speech on Sunday, the Fed chair said that inflation in the US needs to show a consistent downtrend for rate cuts to start. According to the central bank, inflation remains high. Therefore, the economy still needs Read More…
Currency Futures Lose Ground After Blockbuster US Jobs Report
Friday was a down day for currency futures as the dollar rallied to a seven-week high after upbeat employment data. Investors were surprised after the US non-farm payroll figures were much higher than expected. As a result, there is an even lower chance that the Fed will start cutting rates in March. US jobs (Source: Read More…
Interest Futures Gain Ground as Treasury Yields Dip on Banking Concerns
Interest futures rose on Thursday as Treasury yields declined due to concerns about the US banking sector. The US Treasury Bond (ZB) futures and the 10-year T-Note (ZN) futures ended Thursday on a bullish note. Meanwhile, investors continued to absorb Powell’s remarks on Wednesday, which confirmed that rate cuts would come later than March. Concerns Read More…