US interest futures swung swiftly on Thursday after fresh US data showed stronger job growth in September, prompting traders to reduce bets on December rate cuts. A few weeks ago, markets were certain about the rate cut. According to FactSet, the probability of a rate cut is down to 22% from 97% in mid-October. The Read More…
Fundamental Analysis
Crude Oil Markets Tilt Bearish Amid Supply Concerns, Easing Geopolitics
Crude oil futures remain under pressure as WTI stays below $60.00 mark, slightly up from Wednesday’s close. However, the broader sentiment remains bearish as traders react to the reports that the US is endeavoring to broker a new peace deal with Russia. This could reshape the global oil supply. Even though the proposal appears beneficial Read More…
Gold Futures Hold Firm as Traders Await Fed Signals, US NFP
Gold futures edged higher on Wednesday as traders weighed shifting expectations for the Fed’s rate, softening labor market data, and an unsettled geopolitical backdrop. The December COMEX gold futures held modest gains above $4,100 area during the European session. Fed’s December rate cut expectations have trimmed to 49%, as reflected by the CME FedWatch Tool. Read More…
US Equities Cautious Amid Cooling AI Rally, Eyes on Nvidia’s Earnings
US equity futures remained steady on Monday night after a dip in tech stocks led to a decline in the markets. Investors are keenly watching Nvidia’s earnings report and the delayed economic data due this week. Dow Jones Industrial Average futures gained 0.1%, while S&P 500 and Nasdaq 100 added nearly 0.2%, offering stability after Read More…
Currency Futures Slip as Fed Rate Cut Bets Fade Below 50%
Currency futures slipped on Monday as the US dollar extended gains for the second consecutive session, as the December Fed rate cut expectations faded. The CME FedWatch tool now shows a 43% probability for the next rate cut, down sharply from 67% a week ago. Euro futures (6E) extended a correction from 2-week highs as Read More…
US Interest Futures Reprice Sharply as Shutdown Ends
US interest futures experienced a decisive reset on Friday as market participants reassessed the Fed’s policy trajectory after the US government shutdown ended. The reduced uncertainty and potential visibility of key data have triggered a divergence between short-dated and long-dated contracts. Short-dated interest futures, such as 2-year Treasury futures and Fed funds, jumped after the Read More…






