Equities ended lower on Monday, after Trump announced another tariff on films produced outside the US. The drop paused the recent rally on hopes of easing global trade tensions. However, upbeat US business activity data put a floor on further declines. Trump surprised investors when he announced a 100% tariff on movies produced outside the Read More…
Overview: Weekly Chart Technicals: Structure Breakdown RSI Analysis Daily Chart Technicals: Downtrend Intact RSI Key Levels: Type Level Note Resistance $65.00–66.00 Breakdown retest zone (failed) Resistance $70.00 200-day MA + descending trendline Support $55.16 Horizontal support, 2024 low Support $51.46 Measured move + next pivot (S1) Probability Outlook Scenario Probability Trigger Break below $55 → Read More…
Technical Summary Chart Analysis Pattern Development Outlook Scenario Probability Technical Trigger Continued breakout to 6,170+ 60% Clear path if 5,780–5,800 is reclaimed and held Range-bound pullback first 25% Retest of broken resistance ~5,465 zone before resumption False breakout and failure 15% Breakdown back below 5,465–5,400 with volume Bull Case: Bear Case: Final Take This breakout Read More…
Overview Technical Analysis Price Structure: Macro & Fundamental Drivers Key Economic & Geopolitical Factors Affecting the Dollar Recession Signals Mounting: Federal Reserve Policy Outlook: U.S. Fiscal Policy Risks: Global Central Banks: Risk Sentiment Shift: Comparative Currency View (Short-Term Bias) Currency Current Bias vs USD Rationale EUR Bullish ECB staying firm, EURUSD breakout underway JPY Mixed Read More…
Gold prices extended losses on Wednesday as risk appetite improved and demand for safe-haven assets dropped. The yellow metal fell about 1% on Tuesday after Trump put in place measures to ease the impact of ongoing automobile tariffs. At the same time, trade tensions between China and the US continued easing, weighing on gold. Gold Read More…
Recap from April 14 Outlook: In the last analysis, CL had just bounced from key support in the $57–$58 zone and was testing the underside of its former value area (~$66), attempting to confirm a higher low. We concluded that if CL couldn’t reclaim and hold above the 50-day SMA and resistance box, a return Read More…
