Introduction The S&P 500 e-mini futures (ES) have painted two bearish candles for the past two weeks trade. This was overdue as ES and other US equity markets have soared for 2024. The pullback we expect is likely to be a short-term outlook and by no means a trend reversal, so keep that in mind Read More…
Equities were mixed on Monday as investors shifted from AI to more stable financials, utilities, and energy stocks. As a result, the Dow soared while the Nasdaq and the S&P 500 fell. At the same time, market participants were gearing up for more data from the US that could give insight into the Fed’s policy Read More…
Introduction Crude oil could be breaking out of a multi-year downtrend and on its way to triple digits once more. This is a big speculation but if you look at the chart below, you will see why it could be a possibility. At least, the support is very strong and even if price does not Read More…
Federal Reserve and Monetary Policy The Federal Reserve has maintained its policy rate at 5.25%-5.5%, with potential rate cuts anticipated in the latter half of 2024. This cautious stance is driven by mixed economic signals and the need to monitor inflation trends closely. While there has been some moderation in inflation, core inflation, particularly in Read More…
What is leading the underperformance? The Russell 2000 is less weighted in technology stocks compared to the S&P 500 and Nasdaq. Large-cap tech stocks have driven much of the recent market gains, benefiting indices heavily weighted in these sectors. Small-cap stocks, which dominate the Russell 2000, are more susceptible to economic uncertainties too. In contrast, Read More…
Understanding the Recent Surge in NASDAQ and US Equity Markets Over the past week, the NASDAQ and other US equity markets have surged. This rally can be attributed to favorable economic data, strong corporate earnings, historical market patterns, and legislative support. One of the primary drivers behind the market’s recent strength is the softer inflation Read More…
