Fundamental Analysis

Equities Split as Tech Stocks Slide Ahead of FOMC Policy Meeting

Equities had a mixed day on Monday. Major tech stocks dragged the Nasdaq lower, while the S&P 500 and the Nasdaq gained ahead of an anticipated rate cut at the FOMC meeting on Wednesday.  Tech stocks performance (Source: Bloomberg) Apple shares dropped by 2.7% after an analyst noted that demand for the iPhone 16 models Read More…

Technical Analysis

S&P 500 New All Time High!

Introduction The S&P 500 has broken above all-time highs today on expectations that the first rate cut in four years is coming on the 18th of September. Traders are anticipating the first rate cut since March 2020, which comes after a prolonged period of high interest rates aimed at ‘combating inflation’. The expectations are that Read More…

Fundamental Analysis

Currency Futures Rise Amid Growing Fed Rate Cut Expectations

Currency futures extended Friday’s rally on Monday as the dollar fell to an almost nine-month low due to increased Fed rate cut expectations. The outlook for rate cuts shifted suddenly, with market participants moving to price a higher chance of a 50-bps rate cut.  Earlier last week, a set of inflation reports convinced markets that Read More…

Interest Futures
Fundamental Analysis

Interest Futures See-Saw as Fed Rate Cut Sentiment Shifts

Interest futures fell on Thursday before recovering on Friday due to fluctuations in Fed rate cut expectations. Market participants went from expecting a 25-bps rate cut next week to pricing a higher likelihood of a more significant rate cut.  US wholesale inflation (Source: Bureau of Labor Statistics) Investors were initially more convinced that the Fed Read More…

Technical Analysis

Will Russell 2000 (RTY) Continue to Lag NQ & ES?

Introduction:The Russell 2000 Index (RTY), which tracks small-cap U.S. stocks, has been underperforming relative to the broader equity indices like the Nasdaq 100 (NQ) and S&P 500 (ES), despite a modest year-to-date (YTD) gain of 5%. In comparison, the Nasdaq is up 14.3%, and the S&P 500 is up 16.8% YTD. This underperformance in small-cap Read More…