Fundamental Analysis

Dollar Soars, Currency Futures Decline on Monetary Policy Divergence

Currency futures fell on Friday as the dollar soared due to divergence in monetary policies between the Fed and other major central banks. At the same time, geopolitical tensions led to an increase in safe-haven demand for the dollar. Bloomberg dollar gauge (Source: Bloomberg) The dollar closed last week with significant gains as investors slashed Read More…

Interest Futures
Fundamental Analysis

Interest Futures Plunge on Shifting Fed Rate-Cut Outlook

Interest futures fell on Thursday amid growing despair about the Fed’s rate-cut outlook. Investors have lost hope that the Fed will cut rates in June after data on Wednesday revealed high inflation.  Wednesday’s US Consumer Price Index report dealt a big blow to Fed rate cut expectations. It brought to light that the Fed still Read More…

Crude Oil Futures
Fundamental Analysis

Oil Prices Rally as Supply Concerns Take Center Stage

Oil prices rose on Wednesday as supply concerns overshadowed a build in crude inventories and a drop in Fed rate cut expectations. Investors grew concerned about supply as the war in Gaza continued. WTI crude futures (Source: Nymex) Notably, Israeli strikes on Gaza hit prominent members of Hamas on Wednesday amid ongoing ceasefire talks. Consequently, Read More…

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Fundamental Analysis

Gold Prices Scale New Peaks Amid Geopolitical Tensions

Gold prices hit record highs on Tuesday as demand for the haven metal increased amid geopolitical tensions. At the same time, investors bought more gold as bets for a Fed rate cut in June increased ahead of US inflation figures. As the war in Gaza continues, investors seek refuge in the yellow metal. Interested parties Read More…

what to look out for when watching a stock
Fundamental Analysis

Equities Flatline Ahead of Critical US Consumer Price Index

Equities closed Monday nearly flat with no catalysts ahead of the crucial US Consumer Price Index report. At the same time, a sharp increase in Treasury yields due to a drop in Fed rate-cut expectations put pressure on stocks. Investors are gearing up for inflation figures from the US that will shape the outlook for Read More…

Convenience Yield and Backwardation
Fundamental Analysis

Currency Futures Dip as Dollar Surges on Solid US Employment Data

Currency futures fell on Friday as the dollar rallied after the US reported a bigger-than-expected increase in employment in March. As a result, there was a higher chance the Fed would lag behind other major central banks in cutting interest rates. Despite the big rally on Friday, the dollar ended the week down.  US employment Read More…