Technical Analysis Breakout Confirmation NQ has exploded higher, breaking the downtrend and gaining a lot of bullish interest once more. Price has moved back into the previous bullish trend channel, which at one time was extremely unlikely. RSI Momentum Volume Profile Key Levels Zone Type Price Range Notes Resistance 21,900 – 22,500 Prior all-time high Read More…
Month: May 2025
Currency Futures Tumble as Dollar Strengthens on Easing Global Trade Tensions
Currency futures collapsed at the start of the week as easing global trade tensions continued supporting the dollar. The biggest losers were safe-haven currencies like the yen and the Swiss franc. At the same time, easing geopolitical tensions weighed on these currencies. Meanwhile, market participants are gearing up for crucial US inflation figures. Currency futures Read More…
Russell 2000 (RTY) – Are Small Caps Ready to Rally?
Technical analysis Price Action: Moving Averages: Key Levels to Watch Type Price Note Resistance 2,050–2,070 Previous swing highs / congestion zone Resistance 2,192 200-day MA Support 1,995 50-day MA support Support 1,850–1,880 April low and major support zone Broader Context – Small Caps Lag, But Are They Catching Up? Bull Case Bear Case Final Call Read More…
Interest Futures Signal Market Caution Ahead of Key Inflation Data
Interest futures are showing cautious sentiment as markets digest central bank actions and brace for fresh inflation data next week. Traders now price in a 82% probability that the Fed will hold its rates in the next policy meeting as well, with overall reduced expectations for rate cuts in 2025. The shift follows a series Read More…
Crude Oil Gains Overshadowed by Demand Woes and Rising Supply
Crude oil prices rose on Thursday after President Trump announced a major trade agreement with the UK. It sparked a reduction in tariff tensions. The Brent crude oil surged to $61.40, while WTI rose to $58.00, primarily due to trade talk optimism. Despite the brief recovery, oil prices stay under pressure, licking wounds of steep Read More…
Gold Slips Amid Renewed Hopes for US-China Trade Deal
Gold fell over 1% on Wednesday after reports of a likely meeting between China and the US on Saturday. The talks have raised hopes that the two countries will finally reach an agreement to end the trade war. Meanwhile, market participants are preparing for the outcome of the FOMC policy meeting. Gold (Source: Bloomberg) Gold Read More…
Equities Fall as New Tariff Hits Global Film Industry
Equities ended lower on Monday, after Trump announced another tariff on films produced outside the US. The drop paused the recent rally on hopes of easing global trade tensions. However, upbeat US business activity data put a floor on further declines. Trump surprised investors when he announced a 100% tariff on movies produced outside the Read More…
Gold Futures (GC) – Is the Rally Getting a Second Wind?
Price Snapshot (as of May 6, 2025): Technical Analysis Trend Moving Averages RSI Momentum Key Price Levels Type Level Notes Support $3,110 50-day MA & breakout pivot Support $3,000 Psychological round level Resistance None Blue sky breakout Extension $3,500–3,650 Measured move from breakout flag Why Is Gold So Strong? Drivers Behind Gold’s Outperformance Bear Case? Read More…
Currency Futures Extend Friday Gains Ahead of FOMC Meeting
Currency futures strengthened against the dollar on Friday but closed well below their daily highs. The move continued at the start of a new week as market participants geared up for the FOMC policy meeting. Last week, the dollar rallied as trade tensions between the US and its partners eased. Trump took big steps to Read More…
Crude Oil Futures (CL) – Bearish Price Action
Overview: Weekly Chart Technicals: Structure Breakdown RSI Analysis Daily Chart Technicals: Downtrend Intact RSI Key Levels: Type Level Note Resistance $65.00–66.00 Breakdown retest zone (failed) Resistance $70.00 200-day MA + descending trendline Support $55.16 Horizontal support, 2024 low Support $51.46 Measured move + next pivot (S1) Probability Outlook Scenario Probability Trigger Break below $55 → Read More…