Currency futures extended Friday’s rally on Monday as the dollar fell to an almost nine-month low due to increased Fed rate cut expectations. The outlook for rate cuts shifted suddenly, with market participants moving to price a higher chance of a 50-bps rate cut. Earlier last week, a set of inflation reports convinced markets that Read More…
Ascending Channel and Key Support: Resistance Zone and Potential Breakout: Volume Analysis: Probabilities: Bullish Breakout Scenario: False Breakout and Reversal: Trade Opportunities
Interest futures fell on Thursday before recovering on Friday due to fluctuations in Fed rate cut expectations. Market participants went from expecting a 25-bps rate cut next week to pricing a higher likelihood of a more significant rate cut. US wholesale inflation (Source: Bureau of Labor Statistics) Investors were initially more convinced that the Fed Read More…
Introduction:The Russell 2000 Index (RTY), which tracks small-cap U.S. stocks, has been underperforming relative to the broader equity indices like the Nasdaq 100 (NQ) and S&P 500 (ES), despite a modest year-to-date (YTD) gain of 5%. In comparison, the Nasdaq is up 14.3%, and the S&P 500 is up 16.8% YTD. This underperformance in small-cap Read More…
Oil prices rose Wednesday and Thursday as Hurricane Francine ripped through the US, raising fears of supply disruptions. At the same time, investors remained concerned about demand after OPEC trimmed its forecasts for this year and 2025. Hurricane Francine has caused a lot of supply disruptions that have put a premium on oil prices. The Read More…
Overview of the U.S. Dollar Index (DXY):The U.S. Dollar Index (DXY) is currently trading around 101.724, showing a recent bounce from a key support level. The DXY has been in a broad descending wedge pattern, which is generally considered a bullish continuation pattern. The bounce from 100.8 to 101.724 is significant, as it coincides with Read More…
Gold prices rose on Tuesday and Wednesday before pulling back after the crucial US inflation data. Initially, the bullish move was subdued as most traders preferred to wait on the sideline. At the same time, the US presidential debate on Tuesday favored Kamala, leading to a drop in the dollar. This made gold cheaper for Read More…
Overview and Market Sentiment:Japanese Yen futures have been in a strong upward move since June 2024, but there are signs of potential exhaustion, with the formation of a double top near the 0.0071010 level. The double top pattern, combined with bearish divergence and the volume profile, sets us up for a potential short opportunity with Read More…
Equities rose 1% on Monday, recovering from last week’s plunge ahead of crucial US inflation data. Investors sold stocks the previous week due to fears about the economy after a set of poor reports. S&P 500 weekly change (Source: Bloomberg) Notably, the manufacturing and labor sectors showed weakness, creating economic uncertainty. However, by Monday, calm Read More…
Overview and Market Sentiment:The NASDAQ 100 futures (NQ) have been in a strong long-term uptrend, gaining 22% for one year, but the recent pullback is raising caution among traders. The daily chart shows a technical retracement after reaching an All-Time High (ATH) earlier in the summer, and now the price is testing key support levels. Read More…
