US interest futures stay on the edge as the Fed maintains a wait-and-watch policy despite a series of dismal US economic data. The recent US CPI figures showed a cooling inflation for May, missing expectations. Yet, Fed officials need more convincing evidence of a slowdown to initiate a rate cut. Though the inflation data has Read More…
Interest futures collapsed on Friday as Treasury yields soared after a better-than-expected US employment report. The upbeat nonfarm payrolls report led to a decline in Fed rate cut expectations as fears of a rapid US economic downturn eased. Initially, the week started badly for the dollar and Treasury yields. Meanwhile, interest futures were steady before Read More…
US interest futures exhibit increased volatility as investors experience a complex confluence of factors influencing the Fed’s monetary policy trajectory. The recent return of Trump tariffs, ongoing inflation, and political factors have increased speculation about when and how much interest rates will change. The temporary reinstatement of Trump’s tariffs by a federal court has reignited Read More…
Interest futures rebounded on Friday after reaching fresh lows in the previous session on US fiscal health concerns. The rebound came as bargain hunters bought the recent dip. However, the outlook for the bond market remains dim. 30-year Treasury yield (Source: Bloomberg) Treasury yields soared before pulling back on Thursday after reports that Trump’s tax Read More…
Interest futures extended gains on Friday as Treasury yields eased on increasing expectations for Fed rate cuts. However, prices had a difficult start to the week as risk appetite soared on a trade truce between China and the US. Most investors felt confident enough to buy equities at the expense of the bond market. US Read More…
Interest futures are showing cautious sentiment as markets digest central bank actions and brace for fresh inflation data next week. Traders now price in a 82% probability that the Fed will hold its rates in the next policy meeting as well, with overall reduced expectations for rate cuts in 2025. The shift follows a series Read More…
