The US interest futures resumed their upward trend this week, with investors increasingly convinced that the Federal Reserve would at least cut rates once before the end of the year. The October meeting is now fully priced with a 25-bps shift. The change reflects an increasing belief that the US policy rate will not go Read More…
This week, US interest futures are maintaining a delicate balance as markets consider macro risks, inflation signals, and central bank rhetoric. The front end of the curve remains sensitive as investors are pricing in a 25 bps Fed rate cut in October, which reflects easing momentum but not a full dovish commitment. The Fed’s September Read More…
US interest futures came under selling pressure this week as upbeat US data prompted traders to scale back aggressive bets for rate cuts. The Fed’s meeting in September delivered a 25-bps rate cut, but Fed Chair Powell stressed that the policy will remain data-dependent with no pre-commitment to a cutting cycle. The Fed’s nuance, combined Read More…
Interest futures eased on Friday as Treasury yields and the dollar continued their recovery after the expected Fed rate cut. However, the central bank confirmed that it would continue rate reduction for the rest of the year due to the growing risks to the labor market. The anticipation for a Fed rate cut and a Read More…
Interest futures eased on Friday but were set to end the week higher after a surge in Fed rate cut expectations. Inflation figures on Thursday allowed Treasury yields to recover from their recent collapse, putting pressure on interest futures. Since last week, market participants have absorbed data showing a rapid slowdown in the US labor Read More…
Interest futures rallied on Friday after US data revealed a smaller-than-expected increase in employment in August. The downbeat jobs data led to a surge in expectations for a Fed rate cut and a decline in Treasury yields. Interest futures have had a bullish week marked by a gradual increase in Fed rate cut expectations. Since Read More…
