Interest Futures
Fundamental Analysis

Interest Futures Slide as Firm Yields Reflect Stronger US Confidence

Interest futures were subdued on Friday as Treasury yields remained elevated amid stronger investor confidence in the US economy. Recent progress in trade deals has boosted risk appetite and convinced investors to buy back US assets. At the same time, upbeat data and earnings have pointed to a resilient economy, further supporting yields and weighing Read More…

Interest Futures
Fundamental Analysis

Interest Futures Gain on Renewed Confidence in the US Economy

Interest futures rose on Friday after upbeat economic data in the previous session raised optimism about the state of the US economy. However, a decline in Fed rate cut bets and a rally in US Treasury yields put a lid on gains.  US retail sales (Source: US Department of Commerce) Interest futures fluctuated on Thursday, Read More…

Interest Futures
Fundamental Analysis

Interest Futures Slip as Trump Turns Up Tariff Heat

Interest futures eased from recent peaks after Trump got more aggressive with tariffs. Meanwhile, the dollar and Treasury yields rose in anticipation of higher import costs and inflation. Trump sent additional letters to countries like Canada, announcing higher tariffs that will take effect in August.  US 10-year yield (Source: Bloomberg) On Wednesday, interest futures soared Read More…

Interest Futures
Fundamental Analysis

Interest Futures Steady After Weeklong Slide on Weak Overseas Demand

Interest futures steadied on Friday after dropping most of the week due to a drop in overseas demand. The passing of Trump’s tax bill hurt demand for US Treasuries. At the same time, concerns about higher inflation due to tariffs boosted Treasury yields, weighing on interest futures.  Since Tuesday, interest futures have trended lower. The Read More…

Interest Futures
Fundamental Analysis

US Interest Futures Volatile Amid Cautious Fed, Political Chaos

US interest futures remained volatile this week, reflecting a divergence between long-term and short-term expectations for Fed policy. The 2-year and 10-year Treasury notes have shown a clear divergence, highlighting the scale and timing of rate cuts expected in the second half of 2025. The 2-year Treasury note, which closely tracks Fed policy expectations, saw Read More…

Interest Futures
Fundamental Analysis

US Interest Futures Trade Cautiously Amid Fed Uncertainty, Geopolitics

US interest futures are slightly down on Friday as investors react to the Fed’s hawkish stance and the escalating situation in the Middle East. The global markets are experiencing a fresh dose of caution as the Fed held rates unchanged with a slower-than-expected rate-cut path. The market participants are assessing risk appetite across asset classes. Read More…