Interest futures fell on Thursday as investors took profits after the recent rally on a September Fed rate cut. The US unemployment claims data shows that more people are becoming unemployed, which will likely force the Fed to reduce interest rates in September. Interest futures have been bullish since last week as investors cheered the Read More…
Oil prices rose nearly 2% on Wednesday due to a larger-than-expected drop in US crude inventories. At the same time, oil demand increased as Fed policymakers indicated that the recent decline in inflation would pave the way for rate cuts. Brent futures (Source: ICE Futures Europe, Bloomberg) The Energy Information Administration reported that inventories fell Read More…
Introduction What if you are long stocks and the price only went up? What if the RSI was overbought ALL THE TIME? Would you think its time for a retracement? No, you wouldn’t because euphoria is striking, and that is dangerous. It is even difficult to do technical analysis because the price only goes up Read More…
Recap We covered the underperformance in RTY futures a few weeks ago and said that we were getting close to the time that RTY needs to catch up to the greater market. It looks like we are finally at that time now and RTY is on its way up. You can read the previous analysis Read More…
CL Volatility We havent seen much volatility after the very uncomforting attempt on former US President Donald Trumps life this morning. The week ahead could be a very hostile one after this event on the weekend as well as OPEC monthly report and EIA report this week. Let’s see if we can position ourselves properly Read More…
Currency futures rose on Friday on dollar weakness as soft consumer inflation figures overshadowed an increase in wholesale inflation. Investors focused on the higher likelihood of a Fed rate cut in September. US producer prices (Source: US Bureau of Labor Statistics) On Friday, the US Producer Price Index report revealed that inflation increased by 0.2% Read More…
