Price Action & Momentum Technically, DXY is in a confirmed bear trend. A sustained close below 97.93 would expose the 96.75 level next (S2). Reclaiming 100 would be necessary for bulls to regain control. Macroeconomic Pressures on the U.S. Dollar Rate Cut Expectations Soften Yield Appeal Twin Deficits – Fiscal and Current Account Political Uncertainty Read More…
Technical Analysis Breakdown Summary Bearish Signals Downside Targets if 98.50 breaks: Bullish Counterpoints Bias Probability Trigger/Confirmation Target/Range Bearish Continuation 65% Break and close below 98.50 97.50 → 96.90 zone Short-Term Bounce 35% Reclaim of 100.64 + RSI > 50 101.18 (50 MA), then 103.36 (R1) Key Levels to Watch Type Level Significance Resistance 100.64 Former Read More…
Technical Analysis Adaptive Momentum Oscillator (AMO): Bearish Reversal Signal This is the first red histogram since April, and it’s emerging near resistance. Scenarios 🟢 Bull Case (Less Likely Short-Term) Catalysts: Hot inflation surprise, stronger U.S. growth, Fed re-hawkishness 🔴 Bear Case (Favored Short-Term) Catalysts: Weak economic data, risk-on flows, further Fed cut pricing, strong euro Read More…
Overview Technical Analysis Price Structure: Macro & Fundamental Drivers Key Economic & Geopolitical Factors Affecting the Dollar Recession Signals Mounting: Federal Reserve Policy Outlook: U.S. Fiscal Policy Risks: Global Central Banks: Risk Sentiment Shift: Comparative Currency View (Short-Term Bias) Currency Current Bias vs USD Rationale EUR Bullish ECB staying firm, EURUSD breakout underway JPY Mixed Read More…
Dollar dives toward key support as recession fears explode across markets The U.S. Dollar Index (DXY) is trading at 101.81, down -1.81% on the session, marking its largest single-day drop since mid-2022. This dramatic move follows a wave of panic sparked by recession concerns, as detailed in today’s breaking news: “The Dow plunges 1,500 points Read More…
Introduction The U.S. Dollar Index (DXY) experienced a sharp decline, dropping 3.54% to 103.76, breaking below a support zone held since November 2024. The sell-off was triggered by a combination of fundamental factors, including recent macroeconomic data, shifting Federal Reserve expectations, and a controversial interview with former President Donald Trump that may have influenced market Read More…
