Technical Analysis Breakdown Summary Bearish Signals Downside Targets if 98.50 breaks: Bullish Counterpoints Bias Probability Trigger/Confirmation Target/Range Bearish Continuation 65% Break and close below 98.50 97.50 → 96.90 zone Short-Term Bounce 35% Reclaim of 100.64 + RSI > 50 101.18 (50 MA), then 103.36 (R1) Key Levels to Watch Type Level Significance Resistance 100.64 Former Read More…
Technical Analysis Adaptive Momentum Oscillator (AMO): Bearish Reversal Signal This is the first red histogram since April, and it’s emerging near resistance. Scenarios 🟢 Bull Case (Less Likely Short-Term) Catalysts: Hot inflation surprise, stronger U.S. growth, Fed re-hawkishness 🔴 Bear Case (Favored Short-Term) Catalysts: Weak economic data, risk-on flows, further Fed cut pricing, strong euro Read More…
Overview Technical Analysis Price Structure: Macro & Fundamental Drivers Key Economic & Geopolitical Factors Affecting the Dollar Recession Signals Mounting: Federal Reserve Policy Outlook: U.S. Fiscal Policy Risks: Global Central Banks: Risk Sentiment Shift: Comparative Currency View (Short-Term Bias) Currency Current Bias vs USD Rationale EUR Bullish ECB staying firm, EURUSD breakout underway JPY Mixed Read More…
Dollar dives toward key support as recession fears explode across markets The U.S. Dollar Index (DXY) is trading at 101.81, down -1.81% on the session, marking its largest single-day drop since mid-2022. This dramatic move follows a wave of panic sparked by recession concerns, as detailed in today’s breaking news: “The Dow plunges 1,500 points Read More…
Introduction The U.S. Dollar Index (DXY) experienced a sharp decline, dropping 3.54% to 103.76, breaking below a support zone held since November 2024. The sell-off was triggered by a combination of fundamental factors, including recent macroeconomic data, shifting Federal Reserve expectations, and a controversial interview with former President Donald Trump that may have influenced market Read More…
Introduction The U.S. Dollar Index (DXY) is currently testing a key support zone between 106-107, following a pullback. The dollar remains in a strong uptrend, trading well above the 100-week SMA (104.261). As of today 28/02/2025, DXY is trading at 107.775, up +0.69%, showing signs of stabilization after the recent pullback. If the 106-107 support Read More…
