ES has pulled back from its fresh all-time high at 7,838 to retest 7,720 – the prior ATH as support. RSI is holding above the 50 midline at 55.73, keeping the broader uptrend structure intact. Trade Setup Bias: Long Entry: Close green for August 19 session Stop: 7,595 Target 1: 7,838 Target 2: Continuation above Read More…
Introduction When we covered the metal on August 11, price sat at 4,432 after a 7.6% run, and the setup was straightforward: a close above 4,500 opened the 4,600 cluster, while a rejection there followed by a close below 4,415.8 set up a pullback toward 4,300. Price reached roughly 4,495, turned five points short of Read More…
Introduction Of the three index’s we have covered this month, ES has been the least dramatic. Nasdaq spent a week coiled beneath 30,000 waiting on inflation data, and the Dow built a rising wedge with momentum quietly failing to confirm its highs. The S&P has done neither. It ran roughly 450 points off its early-August Read More…
Follow-Up: What Played Out Since August 6 The caution we attached to crude on August 6 turned out to be the part that mattered. We flagged the 74.57–77.00 shelf as the zone to watch and noted that the Iran-Oman shipping agreement driving the sell-off was not finalized and could still swing either way. It swung. Read More…
Introduction When we covered gold’s 7.6% run earlier this week, the driver was a collapse in September rate-hike expectations. The dollar is the other side of that trade, and it tells the same story from the opposite direction: DXY fell from roughly 101.70 in late July to 99.50 in early August, a drop of about Read More…
NQ is coiling in a rising wedge just under 30,000 after reclaiming the August 5 low near 27,215 with a sharp multi-day bounce. Price is now pressing against the top of a consolidation range. Trade Setup Bias: Long Entry: Close above 30,074 Stop: 29,600 Target: 31,000 Invalidation A close back below 29,600 negates the setup Read More…
