Price Structure & Technical Levels Momentum and Squeeze Probabilities Timeframe Bull Case Bear Case Probability Short-Term (1–2 weeks) Break above 1.1300 leads to quick test of 1.1450–1.1613 Failure at 1.1300 leads to pullback to 1.1198 and possibly 1.1120 Neutral-to-Slightly Bullish (55%) Medium-Term (2–6 weeks) Retest and hold of trendline, breakout toward 1.1720 Breakdown below 1.1180 Read More…
Year: 2025
Dow Jones Futures (YM) Technical Analysis – May 27, 2025
Technical Analysis Structure and Trend Any clean break above the 200-day MA opens room toward the all-time high (~43,564). A bullish “golden cross” is not yet active, but a sustained breakout could tilt momentum in that direction. Probabilities Scenario Description Probability Targets Bullish Continuation Holds trendline and breaks above 200-MA High 42,557 → 43,564 (ATH Read More…
Gold Futures Bounce After Steep Losses, Eyes on FOMC Minutes
Gold futures (GC) remain caught between macroeconomic and geopolitical developments, reflecting an indecision in the market. The bounce seen on Wednesday looks more like a technical pullback than a shift in sentiment. Traders are cautious after Tuesday’s steep losses. The buying lacks noticeable conviction due to a confluence of mixed signals around the global landscape. Read More…
US Equities Jump as Trump Tariff Delays Lift Mood
The US equity futures surged on Tuesday. The move was attributed to improved risk sentiment due to President Trump’s delay to implement tequihe tariffs on Eurozone imports until July 09. The decision immediately alleviated trade tension and energized investors ahead of Wall Street’s opening after Memorial Day holiday. The S&P 500 futures gained 1.2%, Dow Read More…
U.S. Dollar Index (DXY) – Technical Analysis May 27, 2025
Technical Analysis Breakdown Summary Bearish Signals Downside Targets if 98.50 breaks: Bullish Counterpoints Bias Probability Trigger/Confirmation Target/Range Bearish Continuation 65% Break and close below 98.50 97.50 → 96.90 zone Short-Term Bounce 35% Reclaim of 100.64 + RSI > 50 101.18 (50 MA), then 103.36 (R1) Key Levels to Watch Type Level Significance Resistance 100.64 Former Read More…
Currency Futures Rally as Dollar Slides on Delayed Tariffs on EU
Currency futures opened the week with strong footing amid the mounting fiscal pressure from the US and growing consensus on the Fed’s rate cuts this year. The US dollar fell broadly against major counterparts in the futures markets, led by declines in the DXY and gains in Euro, Pound, Aussie, CHF and JPY futures. Read More…
S&P 500 E-Mini Futures (ES) Technical Analysis – May 26 2025
Technical Analysis Bullish Developments Bullish Case (High Probability) Probability: 65% Bearish Case (Low Probability for Now) Probability: 35% Key Technical Levels Type Level Commentary Resistance 5,962.75 R1 pivot — breakout confirmation trigger ATH Target 6,170.00 Next major resistance Support 5,809.13 200-day MA – reclaimed Support 5,618.52 50-day MA Key Support 5,397.50 May swing low – Read More…
Gold Technical Analysis Long/Near Term: May 23, 2025
Overview Gold futures (COMEX: GC) continue to trade near record highs with massive long-term momentum and short-term consolidation. Price could be coiling up for another bullish breakout. With macroeconomic uncertainty, a weakening U.S. dollar, central bank demand, and inflation hedging flows underpinning sentiment, gold remains the strongest major asset class of 2025. Monthly Chart RSI Read More…
Interest Futures Rebound After Slump on US Debt Worries
Interest futures rebounded on Friday after reaching fresh lows in the previous session on US fiscal health concerns. The rebound came as bargain hunters bought the recent dip. However, the outlook for the bond market remains dim. 30-year Treasury yield (Source: Bloomberg) Treasury yields soared before pulling back on Thursday after reports that Trump’s tax Read More…
Oil Prices Slide Over 1% Amid OPEC+ Supply Hike Talks
Oil prices dropped over 1% on Thursday after reports revealed a likelihood of another OPEC+ supply boost in July. At the same time, prices were weak after a surprise increase in crude inventories in the previous session. Brent futures (Source: ICE Futures Europe) The Organization of Petroleum Exporting Countries and its allies has been on Read More…