Currency futures gained on Monday as the dollar extended its slide from last week due to an increase in Fed rate cut expectations. Market participants are more optimistic about trade deals with the US that might allow the Fed to consider earlier rate cuts. The dollar ended down last week amid several factors, including optimism Read More…
Introduction The U.S. Dollar Index (DXY) continues its slide, slipping further below the 97.80–98.50 support zone. With the RSI sustaining below 50 and moving averages trending down, the USD is under growing pressure as macroeconomic and geopolitical currents erode demand for the greenback. Technical Breakdown Metric Information Price 97.18 Key Breakdown Below ~98.00 support zone Read More…
US interest futures remained volatile this week, reflecting a divergence between long-term and short-term expectations for Fed policy. The 2-year and 10-year Treasury notes have shown a clear divergence, highlighting the scale and timing of rate cuts expected in the second half of 2025. The 2-year Treasury note, which closely tracks Fed policy expectations, saw Read More…
Introduction The NASDAQ 100 (NQ) has officially broken out above its All-Time High (ATH) resistance zone (~22,425), closing at 22,733.75 — a level not seen before on a daily close. This breakout comes after more than two months of base-building just beneath the key supply zone. Let’s assess the setup technically and contextually. Chart Insights Read More…
Crude oil recovered on Thursday, driven by a sharper decline in the US crude oil inventories and cautiously optimistic sentiment around the Middle East ceasefire. Brent crude futures ticked up to $67 while WTI futures settled around $65. The upside came after the US EIA reported a 5.8 million barrels drawdown in commercial crude oil Read More…
Technical Overview (Daily Chart) Macro/Geopolitical Context Euro Strength Drivers: Dollar Weakness Catalysts: Probabilities Table Scenario Description Probability Comment 🟢 Bullish continuation Price holds above 1.161 and pushes toward 1.185 / 1.206 60% +/- Structural support intact, risk-on flows favor euro 🟡 Pullback to 1.150–1.155 Brief shakeout before reattempting higher 30% +/- Would be healthy for Read More…
Gold futures remain steady on Wednesday above the key level of $3,310. The precious metal declined on Tuesday to a fresh 2-week low as the risk sentiment improved after the geopolitical tensions eased. However, the markets remain cautious as uncertainty from the US Federal Reserve lingers. The market opened on Monday with a softer tone Read More…
US equities started the week with a cautious tone as major indices showed mixed performance. The investors weighed the implications of a ceasefire between Iran and Israel along with expectations of Fed’s future rate policy. Although the Middle East de-escalation briefly boosted risk sentiment, underlying factors like inflation, interest rates, and earnings growth kept the Read More…
Overview Crude oil has seen a sharp unwind following last week’s geopolitical-driven spike above $77. Over the past 48 hours, a de-escalation in tensions between Iran and Israel has cooled risk sentiment, pushing prices back into the prior breakout zone between $64 and $68. A rapid +20% rally driven by fear premiums has now corrected Read More…
Introduction Light Crude Oil Futures (CL) are trading sharply higher at $73.51, up more than 20% from the May lows. The breakout is technically significant, but more importantly, it’s now being supported by growing geopolitical risk in the Middle East due to renewed conflict escalation between Iran and Israel, which has once again injected a Read More…
