Fundamental Analysis

Tech Surge Boosts Equities Despite Holiday Slowdown

Equities ended higher on Monday as technology stocks rallied despite thin holiday trading. Risk sentiment improved on Friday after major banks reported positive earnings. Meanwhile, market participants are preparing for the crucial US retail sales report later this week.  S&P 500 earnings estimates (Source: Bloomberg Intelligence) Despite poor estimates, the stock market rose as the Read More…

Fundamental Analysis

Currency Futures Pause as Fed Outlook Unchanged Amid Mixed Data

Currency futures ended nearly flat on Friday as the dollar paused after a set of mixed data barely changed the outlook for Fed rate cuts. Although consumer inflation jumped, producer prices missed forecasts.  The dollar ralied last week before pausing on Friday. The rally came after consumer inflation figures beat forecasts. The CPI increased by Read More…

Uncategorized

Updated Technical Analysis for E-mini Russell 2000 Futures (RTY)

Summary of Previous Analysis The original short trade idea was based on a failed breakout attempt above the $2,275 resistance, leading to a short entry around $2,233, with a stop loss at $2,320.5 and a target near the trendline at $2,135. The rationale for the trade was the concentration of volume in the $2,150-$2,275 range Read More…

Interest Futures
Fundamental Analysis

Interest Futures Dip as Fed Rate Cut Outlook Dims Slightly

Interest futures fell on Thursday as mixed US data led to a slight decline in Fed rate cut expectations. Data showed that inflation in September was higher than expected. Meanwhile, employment figures showed weakness in the labor market last week. US core inflation (Bureau of Labor Statistics) Consumer Price Index figures on Thursday revealed that Read More…

Crude Oil Futures
Fundamental Analysis

Iranian Oil Fears and Hurricane Milton Spark Oil Price Recovery

Fears of Iranian oil disruptions and Hurricane Milton in the US boosted oil prices on Thursday. In the previous session, prices fell due to a bigger-than-expected increase in US crude oil inventories.  Oil eased on Wednesday after the US released data showing a 5.4 million barrel rise in crude inventories. Meanwhile, economists had predicted a Read More…

Fundamental Analysis

Gold Prices Sink Amid Waning Fed Rate Cut Bets

Gold prices fell more than 1% on Tuesday and maintained the downward trajectory on Wednesday due to a decline in Fed rate cut expectations. Moreover, prices dropped due to worries about poor growth in China in Q4. Gold (Source: Bloomberg) Gold hit a two-week low in the previous session as market participants priced in a Read More…

Technical Analysis

Bull Target Hit On Crude Oil Futures!

Introduction In our earlier analysis, I mentioned key levels in CL crude futures, focusing on a support zone between $66-$71 and a potential breakout above $78.04. There was an expectation of a rally towards higher targets if the price successfully broke above the descending trendline and the 100-week EMA. With escalating geopolitical tensions involving Iran Read More…

Fundamental Analysis

Equities Fall 1% as Markets Dial Back Fed Rate Cut Expectations

Equities fell by 1% on Monday as market participants absorbed the sudden shift in the Fed’s rate cut outlook. At the same time, fears arose that the escalating Middle East tensions would increase oil prices and affect the global economy. On Friday, the US monthly employment report revealed a jump in job growth and a Read More…