Currency futures rose on Friday as the dollar fell amid rate cut speculation after the US consumer inflation report. However, policymakers maintained a slightly hawkish tone, putting a floor on further declines in the dollar. Dollar index (Source: Bloomberg) Last week, the US released several economic reports that led to an increase in Fed rate Read More…
Month: May 2024
Gold Futures (GC) drop after breaking ATH
Gold futures have experienced significant volatility in 2024, driven by economic and geopolitical factors. After closing 2023 at $2,135.39 per ounce, gold prices have continued to rise, reaching new highs. As of mid-May 2024, gold futures were trading around $2,316 to $2,322 per ounce, with fluctuations influenced by the strength of the U.S. dollar and Read More…
Interest Futures Pull Back After Peaking on Fed Rate Cut Hopes
Interest futures fell on Thursday after reaching new highs due to increased Fed rate cut expectations. The pullback came amid inflation worries after new economic data from the US. Still, interest futures are heading for a bullish week with increased rate-cut optimism. On Thursday, the US released data showing a bigger-than-expected 0.9% increase in import Read More…
Euro (6E) Overbought? Technical Analysis & Trades
Introduction Based on the latest inflation data, the U.S. dollar is likely to remain stable or potentially strengthen in the near term. The slowing but steady inflation rate, coupled with the Federal Reserve’s decision to maintain interest rates at their current elevated level, could make the dollar more attractive to investors seeking a safe haven. Read More…
Oil Prices Rise 1% as Crude Inventories Drop, US Inflation Softens
Oil price rose nearly 1% on Wednesday, climbing from a two-month low in the previous session due to a big draw in crude inventories and softer inflation in the US. Consequently, there was optimism about demand and looming Fed rate cuts. Data on Wednesday revealed a more significant decline in crude inventories than expected. The Read More…
S&P 500 (ES) Hits All-Time Highs, Technical Analysis
Introduction The S&P 500 Futures (ES) has rebounded from its recent 7% pullback and broke above the all-time high on May 15th. Technicals look bullish and follow a trend. We can begin grinding down to shorter time frames, avoid looking for shorts, and focus solely on looking for longs on our short-term strategies. Why Daily Read More…
Gold Prices Recover as Demand Rises on Declining US Treasury Yields and Dollar
Gold prices recovered on Tuesday as demand rose due to a decline in US Treasury yields and the dollar. This decline came after the US released an upbeat wholesale inflation report that had the opposite effect on prices. At the same time, gold was stronger as Powell maintained his outlook that inflation would decline, hence Read More…
Equities Dip Slightly as Investors Cautiously Await US Inflation Data
Equities ended slightly lower on Monday as investors stayed on the sidelines ahead of US inflation data. At the same time, they were preparing to receive the earnings reports of major US retail companies. This week, the US will release several important reports, including wholesale inflation, consumer inflation, and retail sales. All these will significantly Read More…
Dow Jones Futures (YM) Technical Analysis & Trades
Dow Jones Futures (YM) have slightly underperformed by about 5% vs. ES and NQ, but nevertheless, the trend is bullish. The key feature on the daily chart is the ascending triangle formation, which gives us a target at the 200% FIbo level. This is the bullish target for the medium term. Keep an eye out Read More…
Currency Futures Slide as Markets Expect Hotter US Inflation
Currency futures dropped on Friday as the dollar gained strength on higher US inflation expectations. At the same time, investors absorbed comments from Fed policymakers regarding interest rates. Meanwhile, US consumer sentiment fell. Data on Friday from the University of Michigan revealed a decline in consumer sentiment. The figures came in at 67.4 in May, Read More…