Technical analysis Zones Bull & Bear Cases Bull Case (higher probability) Bear Case (moderate risk) Trade Ideas Breakout Buy Opportunity (Momentum Continuation) Support Bounce Buy (Mean Reversion) Trades to Avoid Final Outlook Timeframe Outlook Bias Commentary Short-Term Consolidation Neutral-Bullish Price digestion after strong run-up Medium-Term Uptrend intact Bullish Higher lows, reclaim of MAs, poised for Read More…
Price Structure & Technical Levels Momentum and Squeeze Probabilities Timeframe Bull Case Bear Case Probability Short-Term (1–2 weeks) Break above 1.1300 leads to quick test of 1.1450–1.1613 Failure at 1.1300 leads to pullback to 1.1198 and possibly 1.1120 Neutral-to-Slightly Bullish (55%) Medium-Term (2–6 weeks) Retest and hold of trendline, breakout toward 1.1720 Breakdown below 1.1180 Read More…
Technical Analysis Structure and Trend Any clean break above the 200-day MA opens room toward the all-time high (~43,564). A bullish “golden cross” is not yet active, but a sustained breakout could tilt momentum in that direction. Probabilities Scenario Description Probability Targets Bullish Continuation Holds trendline and breaks above 200-MA High 42,557 → 43,564 (ATH Read More…
The US equity futures surged on Tuesday. The move was attributed to improved risk sentiment due to President Trump’s delay to implement tequihe tariffs on Eurozone imports until July 09. The decision immediately alleviated trade tension and energized investors ahead of Wall Street’s opening after Memorial Day holiday. The S&P 500 futures gained 1.2%, Dow Read More…
Technical Analysis Breakdown Summary Bearish Signals Downside Targets if 98.50 breaks: Bullish Counterpoints Bias Probability Trigger/Confirmation Target/Range Bearish Continuation 65% Break and close below 98.50 97.50 → 96.90 zone Short-Term Bounce 35% Reclaim of 100.64 + RSI > 50 101.18 (50 MA), then 103.36 (R1) Key Levels to Watch Type Level Significance Resistance 100.64 Former Read More…
Technical Analysis Bullish Developments Bullish Case (High Probability) Probability: 65% Bearish Case (Low Probability for Now) Probability: 35% Key Technical Levels Type Level Commentary Resistance 5,962.75 R1 pivot — breakout confirmation trigger ATH Target 6,170.00 Next major resistance Support 5,809.13 200-day MA – reclaimed Support 5,618.52 50-day MA Key Support 5,397.50 May swing low – Read More…
