Interest Futures
Fundamental Analysis

US Wholesale Inflation Surge Sends Interest Futures Plummeting

Interest futures, including the US Treasury Bond, fell on Thursday after data revealed a jump in US wholesale inflation. As a result, investors lost a bit of confidence that the Fed would cut rates in June. This led to an increase in short-term Treasury yields, reflecting interest rate expectations.  US consumer and wholesale inflation (Source: Read More…

Interest Futures
Fundamental Analysis

Interest Futures Soar as Powell Signals Future Rate Cuts

Interest futures rallied on Thursday after Powell confirmed that the Fed will likely cut interest rates later in the year. Consequently, short-term Treasury yields declined, reflecting an increase in rate-cut bets. At the same time, investors positioned themselves ahead of the crucial nonfarm payrolls report that could further influence the Fed’s policy outlook. On Wednesday Read More…

Interest Futures
Fundamental Analysis

Interest Futures Surge After US Inflation Meets Forecasts

Interest futures rose on Thursday after US inflation came in line with expectations, leading to a decline in Treasury yields. Unlike the consumer and producer inflation figures, the personal consumption expenditure was not surprising. As a result, investors are more convinced that the Fed will start cutting rates in June. Additionally, there was evidence of Read More…

Interest Futures
Fundamental Analysis

Interest Futures Decline as Upbeat Data Dims Rate Cut Bets

Interest futures fell on Thursday as more positive US economic data pushed back expectations for Fed rate cuts. However, investors became risk averse as geopolitical tensions escalated, putting a floor on further declines.  US jobless claims (Source: Labor Department) Data released on Thursday revealed an unexpected decline in US initial jobless claims last week, showing Read More…

Interest Futures
Fundamental Analysis

Interest Futures Edge Higher as Sales Decline Lifts Rate-Cut Bets

After a surprise decline in retail sales renewed rate-cut bets, interest futures rose on Thursday. On the other hand, the report sent Treasury yields lower. The decrease in retail sales indicated a slowing economy, reducing some of the impact of the upbeat inflation report on Tuesday. Meanwhile, investors also assessed labor market data. US retail Read More…

Interest Futures
Fundamental Analysis

Interest Futures Plummet as Fed Rate Cut Expectations Fade

Interest futures collapsed on Thursday while Treasury yields rose as data from the US and policymakers continued to point at delayed Fed rate cuts. Labor market data from the US showed strength in the sector despite high interest rates. This gives the Fed room to keep interest rates high and lower inflation. At the same Read More…