Interest futures eased from recent peaks after Trump got more aggressive with tariffs. Meanwhile, the dollar and Treasury yields rose in anticipation of higher import costs and inflation. Trump sent additional letters to countries like Canada, announcing higher tariffs that will take effect in August. US 10-year yield (Source: Bloomberg) On Wednesday, interest futures soared Read More…
Interest futures steadied on Friday after dropping most of the week due to a drop in overseas demand. The passing of Trump’s tax bill hurt demand for US Treasuries. At the same time, concerns about higher inflation due to tariffs boosted Treasury yields, weighing on interest futures. Since Tuesday, interest futures have trended lower. The Read More…
US interest futures remained volatile this week, reflecting a divergence between long-term and short-term expectations for Fed policy. The 2-year and 10-year Treasury notes have shown a clear divergence, highlighting the scale and timing of rate cuts expected in the second half of 2025. The 2-year Treasury note, which closely tracks Fed policy expectations, saw Read More…
US interest futures are slightly down on Friday as investors react to the Fed’s hawkish stance and the escalating situation in the Middle East. The global markets are experiencing a fresh dose of caution as the Fed held rates unchanged with a slower-than-expected rate-cut path. The market participants are assessing risk appetite across asset classes. Read More…
US interest futures stay on the edge as the Fed maintains a wait-and-watch policy despite a series of dismal US economic data. The recent US CPI figures showed a cooling inflation for May, missing expectations. Yet, Fed officials need more convincing evidence of a slowdown to initiate a rate cut. Though the inflation data has Read More…
Interest futures collapsed on Friday as Treasury yields soared after a better-than-expected US employment report. The upbeat nonfarm payrolls report led to a decline in Fed rate cut expectations as fears of a rapid US economic downturn eased. Initially, the week started badly for the dollar and Treasury yields. Meanwhile, interest futures were steady before Read More…
