Introduction The U.S. Dollar Index (DXY) continues its slide, slipping further below the 97.80–98.50 support zone. With the RSI sustaining below 50 and moving averages trending down, the USD is under growing pressure as macroeconomic and geopolitical currents erode demand for the greenback. Technical Breakdown Metric Information Price 97.18 Key Breakdown Below ~98.00 support zone Read More…
Euro FX Futures (6E1!) continue to follow a steady uptrend, now trading at 1.1587 and holding firmly above a rising trendline that has acted as reliable dynamic support since early March. The price remains comfortably above both the 50-day MA (1.1376) and 200-day MA (1.0871). The Dollar continues its decline as the political scene in Read More…
Price Action & Momentum Technically, DXY is in a confirmed bear trend. A sustained close below 97.93 would expose the 96.75 level next (S2). Reclaiming 100 would be necessary for bulls to regain control. Macroeconomic Pressures on the U.S. Dollar Rate Cut Expectations Soften Yield Appeal Twin Deficits – Fiscal and Current Account Political Uncertainty Read More…
Technical Analysis Breakdown Summary Bearish Signals Downside Targets if 98.50 breaks: Bullish Counterpoints Bias Probability Trigger/Confirmation Target/Range Bearish Continuation 65% Break and close below 98.50 97.50 → 96.90 zone Short-Term Bounce 35% Reclaim of 100.64 + RSI > 50 101.18 (50 MA), then 103.36 (R1) Key Levels to Watch Type Level Significance Resistance 100.64 Former Read More…
Technical Analysis Adaptive Momentum Oscillator (AMO): Bearish Reversal Signal This is the first red histogram since April, and it’s emerging near resistance. Scenarios 🟢 Bull Case (Less Likely Short-Term) Catalysts: Hot inflation surprise, stronger U.S. growth, Fed re-hawkishness 🔴 Bear Case (Favored Short-Term) Catalysts: Weak economic data, risk-on flows, further Fed cut pricing, strong euro Read More…
Overview Technical Analysis Price Structure: Macro & Fundamental Drivers Key Economic & Geopolitical Factors Affecting the Dollar Recession Signals Mounting: Federal Reserve Policy Outlook: U.S. Fiscal Policy Risks: Global Central Banks: Risk Sentiment Shift: Comparative Currency View (Short-Term Bias) Currency Current Bias vs USD Rationale EUR Bullish ECB staying firm, EURUSD breakout underway JPY Mixed Read More…
