Fundamental Analysis

Currency Futures Decline as Dollar Gains on High Inflation, Safe Haven Demand

Currency futures were on the back foot on Friday as the US dollar reached a one-week high amid expectations of Fed hawkishness. Robust US inflation data reinforced expectations that the Federal Reserve might need to maintain higher interest rates for longer. In September, the consumer price index (CPI) increased by 0.4%, keeping the annual rate Read More…

Fundamental Analysis

Currency Futures Rise as Dollar Dips in the Wake of the US Jobs Report

On Friday, currency futures gained as the US dollar declined slightly against various currencies after the latest jobs report. The report indicated a widespread increase in US hiring for September but also highlighted a deceleration in wage growth.  For the week, the dollar index experienced a 0.1% decrease, ending an 11-week streak of gains. This Read More…

Convenience Yield and Backwardation
Fundamental Analysis

Currency Futures Gain Momentum as the Dollar Weakens

On Friday, currency futures edged higher against a weakening dollar. Still, the dollar was poised to achieve its largest quarterly gain in a year, marking the 11th consecutive week of gains. Investors factored in the probability of a strong economy and sustained higher interest rates.  Despite earlier setbacks, the greenback rebounded following data revealing an Read More…

world stocks recovery
Fundamental Analysis

Currency Futures Decline on US Economic Strength

Currency futures fell against the dollar on Friday amid signs of the United States’ superior economic position compared to other major economies.  US business activity (Source: S&P Global) S&P Global reported a slight decrease in its flash US Composite PMI index for September, dropping from August’s final reading of 50.2 to 50.1. Still, September’s result Read More…

Fundamental Analysis

Currency Futures Gain Ground as Dollar Falters Due to Poor Sentiment

On Friday, currency futures rose as the US dollar dropped due to decreased consumer sentiment data. However, the dollar still recorded a ninth consecutive week of gains. Meanwhile, the yen reached a 10-month low. US consumer sentiment (Source: University of Michigan, Bloomberg) The University of Michigan’s Consumer Sentiment Index preliminary reading for this month was Read More…

Fundamental Analysis

Currency Futures Face Downward Pressure Amid Strong Dollar

Currency futures ended lower last week as the dollar index continued its winning streak for an eighth consecutive week.  Bloomberg dollar index (Source: Bloomberg) This streak, the longest since 2014, came after recent data indicated the resilience of the US economy. The DXY remained almost unchanged at 105.08 for the day. Strong US economic data Read More…