Fundamental Analysis

Equities Rebound but Stay Fragile as Trump Tariffs Loom

Equities rebounded from their lows on Monday but remained fragile ahead of more Trump tariffs. At the same time, market participants look forward to crucial US monthly employment data for clues on Fed policy.  Equities weekly change (Source: Bloomberg) Equities collapsed last week to end the quarter down as it became clear Trump will proceed Read More…

Fundamental Analysis

Currency Futures Surge as Dollar Collapses on Stagflation Fears

Currency futures gained on Friday and extended the moves on Monday as the dollar collapsed amid fears of stagflation. Market participants worried that more US tariffs would weaken economic growth and boost inflation. At the same time, data on Friday revealed an unexpected surge in US underlying inflation.  On Friday, a decline in the US Read More…

Interest Futures
Fundamental Analysis

Interest Futures Rebound Ahead of Key US Inflation Report

Interest futures recovered on Friday ahead of crucial US inflation data that will shape the outlook for Fed rate cuts. However, in the previous sessions, prices collapsed as Treasury yields and the dollar recovered amid upbeat data and expectations of more US tariffs.  Investors are looking forward to the US core PCE price index report Read More…

Crude Oil Futures
Fundamental Analysis

Oil Prices Dip as Auto Tariffs Deteriorate Demand Outlook

Oil prices pulled back on Thursday as investors worried about the implications of an automobile tariff on oil demand. At the same time, market participants worried about Trump’s tariffs and escalating trade wars that would hurt global oil demand. Oil dropped Thursday after Trump confirmed a 25% tariff on vehicle imports to the US starting Read More…

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Fundamental Analysis

Gold Prices Climb as Tariff Uncertainty Weighs on Risk Sentiment

Gold prices extended gains on Wednesday as uncertainty regarding Trump tariffs dampened risk appetite. More tariffs will escalate trade tensions, hurting the global economy. At the same time, investors worry about a spike in inflation due to an increase in the cost of most goods. The ongoing trade policy changes in the US have shifted Read More…

Fundamental Analysis

Equities Surge as Investors Cheer Softer Tariff Stance

Equities rallied on Monday as risk appetite rebounded after reports that Trump would take a more measured approach to tariffs in April. At the same time, an upbeat business activity report eased fears of a US recession, further boosting risk appetite. S&P 500 (Source: Bloomberg) On Monday, markets rebounded after news that Trump was ready Read More…