Recap from August 11 Analysis In the previous analysis, we highlighted: Technical Analysis NQ is back near its all-time high at 24,068, after a short consolidation phase in mid-August. The market has also had three bullish candles in a row, confirming the strength of the bullish momentum. The 50-day SMA is also holding support well, Read More…
Year: 2025
Interest Futures Rally as Fed Rate Cut Bets Soar After Dismal US NFP
Interest futures rallied on Friday after US data revealed a smaller-than-expected increase in employment in August. The downbeat jobs data led to a surge in expectations for a Fed rate cut and a decline in Treasury yields. Interest futures have had a bullish week marked by a gradual increase in Fed rate cut expectations. Since Read More…
Oil Extends Losses on Fresh Supply Worries
Oil prices collapsed further on Thursday as traders worried about an oversupply amid reports of another OPEC+ production boost. In parallel, downbeat US employment figures raised concerns about the state of the economy and demand for oil. WTI futures (Source: NYMEX, Bloomberg) Reports on Wednesday revealed that the members of OPEC+ were planning to boost Read More…
Gold Futures (GC) Technical Analysis, 4 September 2025
Recap from August 13 Analysis In our previous analysis, we looked at how gold was consolidating below its all-time high near $3,510 but holding above the $3,345-$3,375 support zone. Gold was slowly making higher lows and forming an ascending triangle, and has now broken above it, making a new high of $3,640.1. Now that the Read More…
Crude Oil Futures (CL) Technical Analysis, 3 September 2025
Recap from August 15 Analysis In our previous CL analysis, we highlighted: Technical Analysis Trend & Structure CL in the long term is not in a clearly defined trend, the price remains between $63 and $73. There is a symmetrical triangle formation but price has not had a clearly defined break even after attempting to Read More…
Equities Dragged Lower by Dell, Nvidia, NFP Looms
Equities ended lower on Monday as AI stocks like Dell and Nvidia fell. Nevertheless, stocks had another bullish month amid elevated expectations for Fed rate cuts. This week, market focus will be on US employment figures, which will continue shaping the outlook for rate cuts in the US. Nvidia dropped by 3.4% on Monday as Read More…
S&P 500 Futures (ES) Technical Analysis, 2 September 2025
Recap from August 7 In the August 7th analysis, we noted that: Technical Analysis Trend & Structure ES is still in a strong uptrend as bulls remain in control, with pullbacks being no more than a few percentage points. Currently, however, the buying pressure is stalling slightly, and there is a bearish divergence appearing on Read More…
Currency Futures Edge Higher as Fed Cut Bets Stay Strong
Currency futures edged higher on Monday as Fed rate cut bets remained elevated after Friday’s inflation figures. However, traders were cautious at the start of the week, as the US will release its pivotal monthly employment figures. Dollar monthly change (Source: Bloomberg) The dollar ended last month lower due to a surge in expectations for Read More…
Interest Futures Ease with Mild Monthly Gain
Interest futures eased on Friday but were heading for a slight monthly gain after wild fluctuations. Prices have swung in August due to a big shift in the Fed rate cut outlook. At the same time, the conflict between Trump and Powell has impacted interest futures. This week, Fed rate cut expectations remained elevated as Read More…
Oil Prices Slip as US Driving Season Winds Down
Oil prices fell on Thursday as market participants anticipated a looming drop in demand with the end of the US driving season. However, optimism supported prices in the previous session after data revealed a significant draw in US crude oil inventories. Brent monthly performance (Source: ICE, Bloomberg) Oil was heading for a monthly drop on Read More…