Currency futures strengthened against the dollar on Friday but closed well below their daily highs. The move continued at the start of a new week as market participants geared up for the FOMC policy meeting. Last week, the dollar rallied as trade tensions between the US and its partners eased. Trump took big steps to Read More…
Overview: Weekly Chart Technicals: Structure Breakdown RSI Analysis Daily Chart Technicals: Downtrend Intact RSI Key Levels: Type Level Note Resistance $65.00–66.00 Breakdown retest zone (failed) Resistance $70.00 200-day MA + descending trendline Support $55.16 Horizontal support, 2024 low Support $51.46 Measured move + next pivot (S1) Probability Outlook Scenario Probability Trigger Break below $55 → Read More…
Technical Summary Chart Analysis Pattern Development Outlook Scenario Probability Technical Trigger Continued breakout to 6,170+ 60% Clear path if 5,780–5,800 is reclaimed and held Range-bound pullback first 25% Retest of broken resistance ~5,465 zone before resumption False breakout and failure 15% Breakdown back below 5,465–5,400 with volume Bull Case: Bear Case: Final Take This breakout Read More…
Interest futures edged higher on Friday as optimism built about likely trade talks between China and the US. The rebound followed declines in the previous two sessions after downbeat US economic data. Meanwhile, market participants eagerly await the US nonfarm payrolls report for clues on Fed rate cuts. On Friday, China said it was considering Read More…
Oil prices continued falling on Thursday after ending the worst month in over three years. The recent decline came as market participants worried about oversupply as OPEC+ unwinds its output cuts. At the same time, Trump’s tariffs and the subsequent trade wars have dimmed the outlook for oil demand. Oil collapsed on Wednesday after Saudi Read More…
Overview Technical Analysis Price Structure: Macro & Fundamental Drivers Key Economic & Geopolitical Factors Affecting the Dollar Recession Signals Mounting: Federal Reserve Policy Outlook: U.S. Fiscal Policy Risks: Global Central Banks: Risk Sentiment Shift: Comparative Currency View (Short-Term Bias) Currency Current Bias vs USD Rationale EUR Bullish ECB staying firm, EURUSD breakout underway JPY Mixed Read More…
Gold prices extended losses on Wednesday as risk appetite improved and demand for safe-haven assets dropped. The yellow metal fell about 1% on Tuesday after Trump put in place measures to ease the impact of ongoing automobile tariffs. At the same time, trade tensions between China and the US continued easing, weighing on gold. Gold Read More…
Recap from April 14 Outlook: In the last analysis, CL had just bounced from key support in the $57–$58 zone and was testing the underside of its former value area (~$66), attempting to confirm a higher low. We concluded that if CL couldn’t reclaim and hold above the 50-day SMA and resistance box, a return Read More…
Equities had a mixed start to the week, with the S&P 500 rising while the Nasdaq fell. Nevertheless, stocks ended higher last week as risk appetite improved on easing trade tensions between China and the US. At the same time, better-than-expected earnings boosted investor sentiment. Nasdaq-100 index daily performance (Source: Bloomberg) Trading was thin on Read More…
Recap Current Status:Price has stabilized above $40,000, staging a grind higher — yet no breakout has occurred. Price Overview – April 29, 2025 Technical Picture Price Action: Pivot Levels: Support & Resistance Level Role S2 38,948 Confirmed support S1 40,604 Local resistance → now testing Pivot 42,362 Key inflection zone R1 44,018 First bullish breakout Read More…
