Equities rose on Monday due to a boost from technology stocks. At the same time, investors were preparing for major US economic reports shaping the outlook for rate cuts. Meanwhile, data from the US painted a picture of a weaker economy that could pressure the Fed to start implementing rate cuts. Shares of major tech Read More…
Year: 2024
Currency Futures Up as Fall in Inflation Points to Fed Rate Cut
Currency Futures edged higher on Friday as US inflation eased in May, increasing the odds of a Fed rate cut in September. Still, most currencies ended the month lower amid economic, policy, and political changes. US inflation (Source: Bureau of Economic Analysis) Notably, the US released the core PCE report, a very significant inflation measure Read More…
S&P 500 Futures (ES) Tweezer Top Candlestick Pattern
Introduction The S&P 500 e-mini futures (ES) have painted two bearish candles for the past two weeks trade. This was overdue as ES and other US equity markets have soared for 2024. The pullback we expect is likely to be a short-term outlook and by no means a trend reversal, so keep that in mind Read More…
Interest Futures End Higher With Markets Focused on US Inflation
Interest futures ended higher on Thursday as investors waited eagerly for the US core PCE report. At the same time, markets absorbed economic data released from the US, which showed a mixed picture of the economy. The US released its core PCE data showing that the annual figure eased from 2.8% to 2.6% in May, Read More…
Investor Concerns Over Middle East Tensions Lift Oil Prices
Oil prices increased slightly on Wednesday as investors worried about supply due to escalating Middle East tensions. These supply worries overshadowed an unexpected jump in US crude inventories last week. Since the start of the war between Israel and Gaza, there has been a risk of escalation that has supported oil prices. Moreover, ceasefire talks Read More…
Gold Prices Dip as Dollar, Yields Climb Ahead of US Inflation
Gold prices dipped on Tuesday as the dollar and Treasury yields rose ahead of crucial US inflation figures. At the same time, slightly hawkish Fed remarks dampened expectations for a rate cut, which weighed on gold. On Tuesday, the dollar rose 0.2% against other currencies, making bullion expensive for overseas buyers. This rally came as Read More…
Equities Mixed on Monday as Investor Pivot to Stable Sectors
Equities were mixed on Monday as investors shifted from AI to more stable financials, utilities, and energy stocks. As a result, the Dow soared while the Nasdaq and the S&P 500 fell. At the same time, market participants were gearing up for more data from the US that could give insight into the Fed’s policy Read More…
Currency Futures Dip as Dollar Rises on Strong Business Activity Data
Currency futures fell on Friday as the dollar rose due to better-than-expected business activity data. At the same time, the Fed stood out as less dovish compared to other major central banks, boosting the greenback. US business activity (Source: S&P Global) Data from the US on Friday revealed a surge in business activity to an Read More…
Interest Futures Slip as Treasury Yields Climb on Lower Fed Rate Cut Bets
Interest futures fell on Thursday as Treasury yields rose along with the dollar amid a decline in rate cut expectations. At the same time, a second rate cut from the Swiss National Bank highlighted the growing divergence in policy outlooks between the Federal Reserve and other major central banks. US jobless claims (Source: US Labor Read More…
Crude Oil Futures (CL) Technical Analysis
Introduction Crude oil could be breaking out of a multi-year downtrend and on its way to triple digits once more. This is a big speculation but if you look at the chart below, you will see why it could be a possibility. At least, the support is very strong and even if price does not Read More…