Introduction Crude oil prices have been falling recently due to a combination of factors. One major reason is the slowing demand from China, which has been experiencing economic challenges, particularly in its real estate sector and a growing shift towards electric vehicles. As one of the largest consumers of oil, any slowdown in China significantly Read More…
Year: 2024
Oil Slips as Libya Conflict Resolution Calms Supply Concerns
Oil prices fell on Wednesday and Thursday as concerns about supply disruptions in Libya eased after a deal to end the conflict. At the same time, market participants were worried about a planned increase in Saudi Arabia’s oil production. Oil chart (Source: Bloomberg, ICE) Libya, a significant oil producer, had slashed production due to conflict Read More…
Gold Futures Test New Highs Amid China’s Stimulus
Gold prices eased slightly on Wednesday after reaching new highs in the previous session. The rally came after the People’s Bank of China announced stimulus measures to support the economy. At the same time, the dollar dropped after economic data revealed that US consumer confidence missed forecasts. China’s stimulus package, announced on Tuesday, boosted commodities Read More…
Is the Dollar about to Crash? Technical Outlook
Introduction The Dollar is trying to hold off from a tremendous re-balancing as the Euro begins to gain steam against the greenback. There had to be a time when, eventually, the hyper-money printing during COVID-19 would have its effect. Are we seeing that now? The Fed recently cut rates, and they signal that further rate Read More…
Equities Climb Amid Growing Confidence in Fed’s Soft Landing
Equities edged higher on Tuesday after closing strong in the previous session amid optimism for a soft Fed landing. Furthermore, dovish comments from policymakers increased expectations for more rate cuts in 2024. The Fed kicked off its easing cycle on Wednesday last week, triggering a rally in equities. Most policymakers voted to cut rates by Read More…
Gold Futures (GC) Are Leaving Everything Behind
Introduction As we all know, Gold futures have been in a solid uptrend this year as the Dollar has weakened. The main feature on the charts is the bull flag, which we have covered a few times in our technical analysis. The pattern has more than confirmed and is just over halfway away from the Read More…
Currency Futures Pare Gains Slightly as Dollar Recovers After BoJ
Most currency futures fell on Friday as the US dollar rebounded after an unexpectedly cautious Bank of Japan policy meeting. Meanwhile, the pound remained an outlier as UK data revealed better than expected sales figures. Japanese Yen (Source: Bloomberg) Market participants expected a more hawkish tone from the Bank of Japan. Before the meeting, policymakers Read More…
Interest Futures Slide as Risk Appetite Grows Post-Fed Rate Cut
Interest futures fell on Thursday and Friday as investors preferred riskier assets like equities after the Fed delivered a massive rate cut. Moreover, a significant drop in US jobless claims increased risk appetite, sending more investors to Wall Street. On Wednesday, the Federal Reserve cut interest rates by 50-bps, ending months of speculation on the Read More…
S&P 500 Futures (ES) Confrim New High With Green Candle
Introduction The technical analysis we did a few days ago for ES has now been confirmed, and we are looking like the next upside rally is here. The daily chart confirmed the breakout with a strong bullish close above the previous high, and as long as prices remain above that, bulls should have the upper hand. Read More…
Crude Oil Futures (CL) Hitting $80 soon?
Introduction It’s time again to look at the overall picture of CL futures and where we see it heading. The price is still hovering inside the support zone at $68, a level that has been tested and held since the start of 2023. Now, it looks like bulls could be targeting a move back up Read More…