Fundamental Analysis

Equities Fall as Risk Appetite Drops on Low-Cost Chinese AI Model 

Equities collapsed on Monday, reversing last week’s rally as risk appetite dropped after reports of a new low-cost Chinese AI model. Moreover, Trump announced tariffs on specific goods, increasing the risk of trade wars. Investors eagerly await the FOMC policy meeting for clues on future moves. Last week, Trump failed to give any clear guidance Read More…

Fundamental Analysis

Currency Futures Surge as Weak US Data Weighs on Dollar

Currency futures rallied on Friday as the dollar eased due to downbeat US business activity data. At the same time, data from other countries like the Eurozone and the UK revealed a rebound in economic activity. However, by Monday, the greenback rebounded as traders geared up for the Fed policy meeting. Currency futures strengthened last Read More…

Technical Analysis

S&P 500 E-mini futures in turmoil this Monday

Introduction In our previous analysis on January 16, 2025, we identified the potential for ES to continue its rally within the bullish channel with the all-time high (ATH) at 6,154.75 as the next target. Price recently tested this level but failed to break through, forming a double top pattern on the daily chart. Today has Read More…

Interest Futures
Fundamental Analysis

Interest Futures Dip as Investors Pivot to Riskier Assets

Interest futures pulled back from recent peaks as risk appetite improved, sending investors to riskier assets like equities. Nevertheless, bullish sentiment remained strong. Risk sentiment shifted after Trump assumed a softer tone regarding Chinese tariffs and called on the US Federal Reserve to lower borrowing costs. US Treasury Index (Source: Bloomberg) On Thursday, the risk Read More…

crude oil technical analysis
Technical Analysis

Crude Oil futures technical analysis – January 24, 2025

Introduction In our previous analysis, we anticipated a potential breakout in crude oil futures (CL) if the price could sustain momentum above certain resistance levels. Since then, crude has rallied sharply but failed to hold above the descending trendline resistance, leading to a pullback below the trendline again. Let’s see what the technicals are telling Read More…

Fundamental Analysis

Uncertainty Over US Tariffs and Energy Policies Keep Oil Under Pressure

Oil prices held near recent lows as market participants worried about the impact of Trump’s tariff and energy policies on supply and demand. At the same time, investors waited for data and the FOMC policy meeting to provide more clues on the future of monetary policy in the US.  Oil futures (Source: ICE, Nymex) Since Read More…