Introduction Since our last analysis, the Euro FX Futures (6E) have moved higher into the resistance zone of the downward-sloping trend line. Bears have not been strong enough to push price down to the support at 1.1424, and so now, bulls are looking to make a new push, which could lead to a new leg Read More…
Market Snapshot Metric Value Current Price at time of writing 1.16395 50-Day MA 1.16444 200-Day MA 1.09894 Key Resistance 1.1700 – 1.1800 Key Support 1.15625 (range floor), 1.14250 (major swing low) Technical Overview Weekly Chart The weekly chart is a good way to show the strength of the long-term trend of any asset. The Dollar Read More…
Technical Overview (Daily Chart) Macro/Geopolitical Context Euro Strength Drivers: Dollar Weakness Catalysts: Probabilities Table Scenario Description Probability Comment 🟢 Bullish continuation Price holds above 1.161 and pushes toward 1.185 / 1.206 60% +/- Structural support intact, risk-on flows favor euro 🟡 Pullback to 1.150–1.155 Brief shakeout before reattempting higher 30% +/- Would be healthy for Read More…
Euro FX Futures (6E1!) continue to follow a steady uptrend, now trading at 1.1587 and holding firmly above a rising trendline that has acted as reliable dynamic support since early March. The price remains comfortably above both the 50-day MA (1.1376) and 200-day MA (1.0871). The Dollar continues its decline as the political scene in Read More…
Price Structure & Technical Levels Momentum and Squeeze Probabilities Timeframe Bull Case Bear Case Probability Short-Term (1–2 weeks) Break above 1.1300 leads to quick test of 1.1450–1.1613 Failure at 1.1300 leads to pullback to 1.1198 and possibly 1.1120 Neutral-to-Slightly Bullish (55%) Medium-Term (2–6 weeks) Retest and hold of trendline, breakout toward 1.1720 Breakdown below 1.1180 Read More…
Introduction Technical Analysis After a strong breakout above 1.13 in April, 6E has pulled back modestly, retracing toward the 50-day moving average and prior support at ~1.114–1.117. Buyers stepped in at that level, and we are now seeing an attempt to regain upside momentum. Price is currently retesting the pivot zone at 1.127, which is Read More…
