Fundamental Analysis

Currency Futures Wobble Amid Diverse Economic and Political Shifts

Currency futures were mixed on Friday and Monday amid several economic and political changes in different countries. Meanwhile, the dollar fell after inflation data revealed softer-than-expected numbers.  US core inflation (Source: Bureau of Economic Analysis) The US core PCE price index report on Friday revealed a 0.1% increase in August, smaller than the forecast of Read More…

Fundamental Analysis

Currency Futures Pare Gains Slightly as Dollar Recovers After BoJ

Most currency futures fell on Friday as the US dollar rebounded after an unexpectedly cautious Bank of Japan policy meeting. Meanwhile, the pound remained an outlier as UK data revealed better than expected sales figures. Japanese Yen (Source: Bloomberg) Market participants expected a more hawkish tone from the Bank of Japan. Before the meeting, policymakers Read More…

Fundamental Analysis

Currency Futures Rise Amid Growing Fed Rate Cut Expectations

Currency futures extended Friday’s rally on Monday as the dollar fell to an almost nine-month low due to increased Fed rate cut expectations. The outlook for rate cuts shifted suddenly, with market participants moving to price a higher chance of a 50-bps rate cut.  Earlier last week, a set of inflation reports convinced markets that Read More…

Fundamental Analysis

Currency Futures Ease as NFP Data Supports Gradual Fed Rate Cuts

Most currency futures were on the back foot on Friday as the dollar whiplashed after a mixed monthly jobs report. The greenback ended higher as labor market data further eased fears of a recession and pointed to a gradual Fed rate cutting cycle.  Last week, the US released several economic reports that gave an ambiguous Read More…

Fundamental Analysis

Currency Futures Slide as Markets Anticipate Fed’s 25-BPS Cut

Currency futures fell on Friday after US data solidified bets for a smaller 25 bps September Fed rate cut, boosting the US dollar. Data throughout last week showed that the US economy remains resilient, dismissing fears of a recession. Fed rate cut bets (Source: Bloomberg) The dollar had a bullish day on Friday after the Read More…

Fundamental Analysis

Currency Futures Spike as Fed Hints a Shift in Policy

Currency futures soared on Friday as the dollar plunged after Powell said the Fed was ready to adjust policy. Powell’s speech conveyed that the Fed was ready to start lowering borrowing costs to ensure a steady labor market. However, by Monday, most currencies eased slightly as investors took profits. After a whole week of anticipation, Read More…