Introduction Of the three index’s we have covered this month, ES has been the least dramatic. Nasdaq spent a week coiled beneath 30,000 waiting on inflation data, and the Dow built a rising wedge with momentum quietly failing to confirm its highs. The S&P has done neither. It ran roughly 450 points off its early-August Read More…
US equities remain on a weaker footing after a strong rally pushed major indexes to record levels. The S&P 500 closed Monday at 7,745.06, down 0.5%, while the Nasdaq Composite slipped 0.3% to 26,644.91. The Dow Jones Industrial Average also fell 0.5%. Despite the pullback, Wall Street remains close to historical highs. The recent rally Read More…
Follow-Up: What Played Out Since August 6 The caution we attached to crude on August 6 turned out to be the part that mattered. We flagged the 74.57–77.00 shelf as the zone to watch and noted that the Iran-Oman shipping agreement driving the sell-off was not finalized and could still swing either way. It swung. Read More…
Currency futures gained on Monday as the dollar extended declines from the previous week amid a drop in Fed rate hike expectations. Economic data released last week showed easing inflation and a slower economy. Meanwhile, market participants are watching rising tensions in the Middle East with no new deal in sight. Recent US data has Read More…
Introduction When we covered gold’s 7.6% run earlier this week, the driver was a collapse in September rate-hike expectations. The dollar is the other side of that trade, and it tells the same story from the opposite direction: DXY fell from roughly 101.70 in late July to 99.50 in early August, a drop of about Read More…
Interest futures soared on Thursday after US data revealed softer-than-expected wholesale inflation. The PPI report led to a decline in Fed rate hike expectations, sending yields lower. However, if there is no deal to end the war in Iran, oil prices will keep rising, pushing inflation higher. The bond market recovered this week as traders Read More…
