US equities ended Monday mixed as investors prepared for the release of the all-important US consumer inflation report. The Nasdaq and the S&P 500 ended the day slightly lower. Meanwhile, the Dow rose slightly. Monday was a relatively quiet day for equities as investors mostly stayed on the sidelines awaiting the inflation report. However, the Read More…
Fundamental Analysis
Currency Futures Rise on Dollar’s Decline Amid Inflation Revision
Currency futures rose on Friday as the dollar fell after data showed inflation rose less than reported in December. However, this revision failed to change the outlook for rate cuts in the US. Additionally, it became clear that inflation rose more than previously reported in October and November. Meanwhile, the dollar closed the week with Read More…
Interest Futures Plummet as Fed Rate Cut Expectations Fade
Interest futures collapsed on Thursday while Treasury yields rose as data from the US and policymakers continued to point at delayed Fed rate cuts. Labor market data from the US showed strength in the sector despite high interest rates. This gives the Fed room to keep interest rates high and lower inflation. At the same Read More…
Oil Prices Climb Amid Escalating Middle East Tensions
Oil prices rose on Wednesday due to rising tensions in the Middle East that could lead to tighter supply. At the same time, a surprise drop in gasoline stocks indicated an increase in demand. Aggregate open interest in crude (Source: ICE, CME) Investors are buying more oil futures, expecting tighter supply and higher prices. Israel Read More…
Gold Bounces Back, Pausing the Jobs Report Dip
Gold prices rose on Tuesday, pausing a decline that started on Friday after the US jobs report. The recovery came as the dollar and Treasury yields pulled back from recent highs. However, this decline might be short-lived if fundamentals continue pointing to delayed rate cuts in the US. Fed rate cut expectations (Source: Bloomberg) Notably, Read More…
Equities Plummet as Powell Dampens Rate Cut Expectations
US equities closed Monday in the red as Powell maintained his hawkish stance, dampening rate cut expectations. In a speech on Sunday, the Fed chair said that inflation in the US needs to show a consistent downtrend for rate cuts to start. According to the central bank, inflation remains high. Therefore, the economy still needs Read More…