Fundamental Analysis

Currency Futures: Diverging Policy Cycles Keep Dollar Weak

Currency futures opened the week on a steady footing but stayed cautious, with traders positioning around divergences in global monetary policy. As expectations for the Fed rate cut intensify, while other central banks vary in their pace, the shift in yields is driving volatility in FX futures. Dollar softness remains the central theme for futures Read More…

Interest Futures
Fundamental Analysis

US Interest Futures Repricing as Markets Bet on Fed Cuts

US interest futures have entered the repricing phase, driven by a reversal in expectations of Fed policy. The shift accelerated this week as the 10-year Treasury yields fell slightly below 4% for the first time in a month, signaling renewed demand for the Fed to ease sooner than expected. According to JPMorgan, the net long Read More…

crude Oil futures
Fundamental Analysis

Crude Oil Heading Lower Amid Geopolitical Shift, Mounting Supply Concerns

Crude oil futures retreated on Thursday as markets weighed the growing probability of a ceasefire between Russia and Ukraine. This development could alter the global supply dynamics. The move reflects the market’s continued sensitivity to geopolitical shifts and more profound structural imbalances, highlighted by recent data. The recent decline was partially triggered by the larger-than-expected Read More…

Gold
Fundamental Analysis

Gold Futures Gain Following Weak US Data, Rising Fed Easing Bets

Gold futures are poised to extend their upward trajectory as markets lean aggressively into expectations for a Fed rate cut in December. Moreover, softer US economic data, such as sluggish Retail Sales, a cooling Producer Price Index, and weakening Consumer Confidence, have reinforced the view that the Fed has room to ease without threatening the Read More…

Fundamental Analysis

US Equities Turnaround Amid AI Rally, Fed Cut Bets

US equities remained firm on Monday night after a strong rebound, with investors rotating back into technology and AI stocks, while repricing expectations for a December Fed rate cut. The bounce followed a broad surge during Monday’s session, with the Nasdaq Composite gaining 2.7%, marking its best performance since May, while the S&P 500 gained Read More…

Fundamental Analysis

Currency Futures Edge Higher as Fed Cut Bets Rise, Global Policy Paths Diverge

Currency futures started the week on a firm footing as global risk appetite improved and traders reassessed the expectation of the Fed’s December rate cut decision. With a rising probability of a rate cut, the US dollar lost traction across the futures markets, allowing high-beta currencies like the GBP and AUD to stabilize. In contrast, Read More…