Federal Reserve and Monetary Policy The Federal Reserve has maintained its policy rate at 5.25%-5.5%, with potential rate cuts anticipated in the latter half of 2024. This cautious stance is driven by mixed economic signals and the need to monitor inflation trends closely. While there has been some moderation in inflation, core inflation, particularly in Read More…
What is leading the underperformance? The Russell 2000 is less weighted in technology stocks compared to the S&P 500 and Nasdaq. Large-cap tech stocks have driven much of the recent market gains, benefiting indices heavily weighted in these sectors. Small-cap stocks, which dominate the Russell 2000, are more susceptible to economic uncertainties too. In contrast, Read More…
Understanding the Recent Surge in NASDAQ and US Equity Markets Over the past week, the NASDAQ and other US equity markets have surged. This rally can be attributed to favorable economic data, strong corporate earnings, historical market patterns, and legislative support. One of the primary drivers behind the market’s recent strength is the softer inflation Read More…
Introduction Crude Oil Futures (CL) dropped dramatically for five straight sessions last week. CL dropped a total of 10.5% from the high of Wednesday 5th in those five days. There was a support level at around $76 that was taken out which is likely what lead to the sharp decline but the story changed quickly. Read More…
Introduction The Dow Jones futures (YM) have lagged behind the other indices in 2024. The industrial average has still put in some good gains, up 11% for the past year but only 2.9% YTD. The S&P 500 (ES) is up 22% for the past year. Do we think its time for the Dow to catch Read More…
Introduction Bitcoins’ huge bull run in 2024 may be coming to an end as the ‘digital gold’ daily chart may be looking at a very scary triple-top formation coupled with bearish divergence. 2024 Performance BTC is up 54% YTD and 160%, looking back on one year. This has followed the traditional cycle of a bull Read More…
Introduction There is bearish divergence playing out on the daily chart for Gold futures. The daily candle we see forming today (7 June) is a big red one as buyers become exhausted. Is gold’s run coming to an end? The chart provided is of Gold Futures (COMEX), with several technical indicators and patterns that can Read More…
Introduction ES has broken above its all time high once more as bulls have gained the upper hand. There are some important levels to keep an eye on for the daily chart and possible entries we could look for. Currently, we don’t see any bearish trade opportunities. Technical Analysis Price Action Moving Averages Relative Strength Read More…
Introduction The Nasdaq e-mini futures (NQ) painted a huge bullish candle from last Friday in the form of a doji that is busy confirming a morning star pattern. The price has already pushed above last Friday’s high, confirming the bullish price action. The doji from Friday also bounced right off the 100 MA. This could Read More…
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