US interest futures are pointing to a “later and milder” easing cycle because markets now expect the Fed to be patient rather than make a quick change. The front of the Fed funds strip (F26 and G26 contracts running from January to March 2026) trades close to the current rates. So, the policy will likely Read More…
Oil is being pulled between fading headline risk and still‑elevated geopolitical uncertainty. On Thursday, prices swung sharply lower, with Brent and WTI dropping more than 3%. This came after comments from President Trump suggesting killings in Iran’s protests were easing and that Washington was not on the verge of military action. That took some heat Read More…
Gold futures are trading near record territory as the macro backdrop increasingly supports higher prices. Spot gold briefly hit a new all-time high around $4,635 an ounce, while front-month futures pulled back slightly to settle near $4,599 after the initial spike. Even with that intraday reversal, the broader picture remains exceptionally strong; over the past Read More…
US equities ended a chaotic day higher, despite renewed uncertainty from the Federal Reserve over politics and policy. Major indices closed at record levels after early losses related to Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell’s investigation were reversed. The Dow Jones Industrial Average increased 0.17% to 49,590, up 86 points. Nasdaq Composite up 0.26% to 23,733, Read More…
Currency futures markets are navigating a complex mix of political risk, concerns about the Fed’s independence, and shifting expectations regarding interest rates. Major futures contracts are moving in different directions in different regions. Japanese Yen futures (6J) remain under strong selling pressure amid political instability in Japan, making it more difficult to anticipate when the Read More…
US interest futures got a lot of attention since an unusual trade occurred in the Fed Funds futures market just days before a key US jobs report. On Tuesday, the largest trade in this market to date occurred: a single block trade of 200,000 January Fed Funds futures contracts. The size alone has led to Read More…
Crude oil struggles near the $56.00 level during the earlier European session after several days of losses. Prices remain under pressure amid renewed supply concerns following President Trump’s comments about Venezuela’s oil flows. This keeps traders cautious despite slightly supportive fundamentals. President Trump mentioned that Venezuelan authorities agreed to supply 30-50 million barrels of sanctioned Read More…
Gold futures are beginning to show signs of exhaustion near the $4,580 mark after a sharp two-day rally, with prices struggling to maintain recent gains. During Asian trading, the market briefly reached a one-week high before finding selling pressure as traders locked in profits against a generally risk-friendly environment. The safe-haven demand has decreased as Read More…
US equities started the new week on a solid footing, following a strong rally during regular trading that sent major benchmarks to new highs, with stock futures barely changing on Monday night. Following Monday’s robust gains, futures linked to the Dow Jones Industrial Average, the S&P 500, and the Nasdaq 100 also declined slightly, indicating Read More…
As fresh geopolitical tension and cautious risk positioning forced flows back into defensive trades, currency futures began the new week with a tilt toward the US dollar. Due to lingering uncertainty surrounding several global flashpoints and demand for safe havens in the wake of the US military action in Venezuela, the Dollar Index futures (DXY) Read More…
