Currency futures are under subdued pressure as US inflation data shows cooling, with CPI at 2.4% YoY and 0.2% MoM, bolstering bets on later Fed cuts. CME FedWatch expects two 25-bp cuts this year, mostly after June. Key takeaway: Cooling inflation and delayed Fed action keep USD strong in the short term but may weaken Read More…
US interest futures remained mixed this week, reflecting cautious sentiment as the Fed remains uncertain about the pace and timing of easing in 2026 and beyond. In particular, the recent upbeat US NFP data reveals a resilient US economy, giving the central bank a further cushion to hold rates. At the short end of the Read More…
Crude oil futures edge higher on geopolitical jitters, with WTI near $65 and Brent around $70 per barrel. This follows a choppy period as markets weigh near-term risks against the backdrop of oversupply. Tensions between the US and Iran still drive prices in the short term. Talks of possible US military actions in the Middle Read More…
Gold futures continue to receive strong fundamental support from central bank demand, ongoing macroeconomic uncertainty, and limited supply. This gives the metal a positive medium-term outlook. After a quick round of profit-taking earlier this year, most investors have seen the price fall, not as signs that the bull market is over, but as opportunities to Read More…
US equities extended their rebound on Monday. Gains were led once again by beneficiaries of big tech and AI as investors looked past last week’s turbulence. They turned their focus to a heavy slate of economic data and corporate earnings. The S&P 500 rose about 0.5% to 6,964.82, marking a second straight increase. The Dow Read More…
Currency futures markets started the week in a cautious tone as traders positioned around shifting central bank expectations and delayed US data. The price action shows investors moving away from safe-haven dollar exposure toward selective risk trades. Meanwhile, the rate cut timing remains a key macro driver. The Dollar Index (DXY) extends losses in Read More…
US interest futures fell slightly on Thursday as traders backed off bets that the Federal Reserve would cut rates more aggressively later in 2026, after economic data revealed significant improvement. The CME Group’s 30-Day Federal Funds futures prices indicate the decreased probability of more than one cut since last week. Contracts ending in September and Read More…
Crude oil futures fell to the $63.50 region after two days of gains, as talks between Iran and the US in Oman eased fears of a broader disruption in the Middle East. The move, as reported, shows the market’s sensitivity. The risk premium can disappear quickly when diplomacy signals are strong and then return just Read More…
Gold’s latest leg higher is best understood through futures-led risk repricing. As tensions between the US and Iran grew, investors quickly moved into safe havens, pushing gold futures up 3.49% to $5,107 and spot prices through the $5,000 psychological barrier to $5,089. Silver rose 5.77% to $88.00, which supported the “panic hedge” trade. This aligns Read More…
US equities started February with strong momentum, but this time, under a more complicated environment. The Dow, S&P 500, and Nasdaq all had reasonable gains at the start of the month. Futures also pointed to a positive bias, suggesting that investors are willing to take on more risk even as they remain worried about the Read More…
