US interest futures are currently at the center of the macro debate as markets and the Fed diverge on the timing and speed of policy easing. Pricing in 3-month SOFR futures on CME indicates that traders still expect a lower policy rate path over 2026 than today. However, the depth and pace of cuts implied Read More…
Crude oil futures are locked in a geopolitically driven rally, with Brent pushing toward the high $60s and WTI into the mid-$60s, marking three consecutive days of gains and roughly a 5% advance since January 26. The primary driver is escalating Middle East tension centered on Iran, a key OPEC producer pumping around 3.2 million barrels Read More…
Gold futures are trading in an environment with record spot prices, strong flows into safe havens, and a structurally weaker US dollar. Spot gold has gone above $5,200 per ounce for the first time, up more than 20% since the beginning of the year. US gold futures for near-term delivery also reflect this rise. Traditional Read More…
US equities are slowly rising despite a lot of noise in the economy and politics. Tech stocks are helping to keep risk sentiment high, even as policy and tariff risks grow. On Monday, the Dow, S&P 500, and Nasdaq rose by about 0.4% to 0.6%. This kept the cautiously optimistic mood going into a week Read More…
Currency futures are opening the week with the USD complex still fragile, even though pockets of safe-haven demand show up on tariff/geopolitical headlines. The US Dollar Index futures (DXY) are around 97.0–97.1, close to their lowest level in months. Investors are weighing the noise around trade policy, the “Sell America” flows, and the risk that Read More…
The US interest futures market is hesitant, moving in both directions. The front end isn’t fully discounting the easing story, but it’s also struggling to price in aggressive near-term cuts. Fed Funds futures (ZQ) and SOFR futures (SR3) still show a split. Markets are fine with a “hold next meeting” base case, but they also Read More…
Crude oil futures remain in a tight range, with Brent crude dropping to around mid-64.00 on Thursday, while WTI stays near $60.55. Both are up about 5% over the past month, but that rally’s hitting a wall due to oversupply concerns. US crude inventories jumped 3.04 million barrels last week, and the Strategic Petroleum Reserve Read More…
Gold futures’ recent leg higher is being driven by an unusually concentrated mix of politics, policy, and positioning. The immediate catalyst is President Trump’s hard line on acquiring Greenland and his threats of aggressive tariffs on multiple European allies, including a 200% levy on French wine and champagne. Markets are reading this as a serious Read More…
US equities enter the week under pressure, with futures pointing sharply lower as investors react to President Trump’s latest tariff threats on key European allies over Greenland. Dow, S&P 500, and Nasdaq 100 futures are all indicating a weak open after the Martin Luther King holiday, marking the first full market response to plans for Read More…
Currency futures are strongly bid against the US dollar as the new week begins, largely due to heightened US political risk and new US-Greenland and trade-war headlines. Despite stronger US economic data, the situation is limiting the greenback’s recovery. Tariffs on the UK and Europe have lowered USD sentiment, supporting pound futures (6B). If the Read More…
